Understanding the Nature of the
Global Economic
Crisis
The people have
been lulled into a false sense of safety under the
ruse of a perceived ?economic recovery.?
Unfortunately, what the majority of people think
does not make it so, especially when the people
making the key decisions think and act to the
contrary. The sovereign debt crises that have been
unfolding in the past couple years and more
recently in Greece, are canaries in the coal mine
for the rest of Western ?civilization.? The crisis
threatens to spread to Spain, Portugal and
Ireland; like dominoes, one country after another
will collapse into a debt and currency crisis, all
the way to America.
In October 2008,
the mainstream media and politicians of the
Western world were warning of an impending
depression if actions were not taken to quickly
prevent this. The problem was that this crisis had
been a long-time coming, and what?s worse, is that
the actions governments took did not address any
of the core, systemic issues and problems with the
global economy; they merely set out to save the
banking industry from collapse. To do this,
governments around the world implemented massive
?stimulus? and ?bailout? packages, plunging their
countries deeper into debt to save the banks from
themselves, while charging it to people of the
world.
Then an uproar of
stock market speculation followed, as money was
pumped into the stocks, but not the real economy.
This recovery has been nothing but a complete and
utter illusion, and within the next two years, the
illusion will likely come to a complete collapse.
The governments
gave the banks a blank check, charged it to the
public, and now it?s time to pay; through drastic
tax increases, social spending cuts, privatization
of state industries and services, dismantling of
any protective tariffs and trade regulations, and
raising interest rates. The effect that this will
have is to rapidly accelerate, both in the speed
and volume, the unemployment rate, globally. The
stock market would crash to record lows, where
governments would be forced to freeze them
altogether.
When the crisis is
over, the middle classes of the western world will
have been liquidated of their economic, political
and social status. The global economy will have
gone through the greatest consolidation of
industry and banking in world history leading to a
system in which only a few corporations and banks
control the global economy and its resources;
governments will have lost that right. The people
of the western world will be treated by the
financial oligarchs as they have treated the
?global South? and in particular, Africa; they
will remove our social structures and foundations
so that we become entirely subservient to their
dominance over the economic and political
structures of our society.
This is where we
stand today, and is the road on which we travel.
The western world
has been plundered into poverty, a process long
underway, but with the unfolding of the crisis,
will be rapidly accelerated. As our societies
collapse in on themselves, the governments will
protect the banks and multinationals. When the
people go out into the streets, as they invariably
do and will, the government will not come to their
aid, but will come with police and military forces
to crush the protests and oppress the people. The
social foundations will collapse with the economy,
and the state will clamp down to prevent the
people from constructing a new one.
The road to
recovery is far from here. When the crisis has
come to an end, the world we know will have
changed dramatically. No one ever grows up in the
world they were born into; everything is always
changing. Now is no exception. The only difference
is, that we are about to go through the most rapid
changes the world has seen thus far.
Assessing
the Illusion of Recovery
In August of 2009,
I wrote an article, Entering the Greatest Depression in
History, in which I analyzed how there is
a deep systemic crisis in the Capitalist system in
which we have gone through merely one burst bubble
thus far, the housing bubble, but there remains a
great many others.
There remains as a
significantly larger threat than the housing
collapse, a commercial real estate bubble. As the
Deutsche Bank CEO said in May of 2009, ?It's
either the beginning of the end or the end of the
beginning.?
Of even greater
significance is what has been termed the ?bailout
bubble? in which governments have superficially
inflated the economies through massive
debt-inducing bailout packages. As of July of
2009, the government watchdog and investigator of
the US bailout program stated that the U.S. may
have put itself at risk of up to $23.7 trillion
dollars.
[See: Andrew Gavin Marshall, Entering the
Greatest Depression in History. Global Research:
August 7, 2009]
In October of 2009,
approximately one year following the ?great panic?
of 2008, I wrote an article titled, The Economic Recovery is an
Illusion, in which I analyzed what the
most prestigious and powerful financial
institution in the world, the Bank for
International Settlements (BIS), had to say about
the crisis and ?recovery.?
The BIS, as well as
its former chief economist, who had both correctly
predicted the crisis that unfolded in 2008, were
warning of a future crisis in the global economy,
citing the fact that none of the key issues and
structural problems with the economy had been
changed, and that government bailouts may do more
harm than good in the long run.
William White,
former Chief Economist of the BIS,
warned:
The world has not
tackled the problems at the heart of the economic
downturn and is likely to slip back into
recession. [He] warned that government actions to
help the economy in the short run may be sowing
the seeds for future crises.
[See: Andrew Gavin Marshall, The Economic
Recovery is an Illusion. Global Research: October
3, 2009]
Crying Wolf
or Castigating Cassandra?
While people were
being lulled into a false sense of security,
prominent voices warning of the harsh bite of
reality to come were, instead of being listened
to, berated and pushed aside by the mainstream
media. Gerald Celente, who accurately predicted
the economic crisis of 2008 and who had been
warning of a much larger crisis to come, had been
accused by the mainstream media of pushing
?pessimism porn.?[1] Celente?s response has been
that he isn?t pushing ?pessimism porn,? but that
he refuses to push ?optimism opium? of which the
mainstream media does so outstandingly.
So, are these
voices of criticism merely ?crying wolf? or is it
that the media is out to ?castigate Cassandra??
Cassandra, in Greek mythology, was the daughter of
King Priam and Queen Hecuba of Troy, who was
granted by the God Apollo the gift of prophecy.
She prophesied and warned the Trojans of the
Trojan Horse, the death of Agamemnon and the
destruction of Troy. When she warned the Trojans,
they simply cast her aside as ?mad? and did not
heed her warnings.
While those who
warn of a future economic crisis may not have been
granted the gift of prophecy from Apollo, they
certainly have the ability of comprehension.
So what do the
Cassandras of the world have to say today? Should
we listen?
Empire and
Economics
To understand the
global economic crisis, we must understand the
global causes of the economic crisis. We must
first determine how we got to the initial crisis,
from there, we can critically assess how
governments responded to the outbreak of the
crisis, and thus, we can determine where we
currently stand, and where we are likely headed.
Africa and much of
the developing world was released from the
socio-political-economic restraints of the
European empires throughout the 1950s and into the
60s. Africans began to try to take their nations
into their own hands. At the end of World War II,
the United States was the greatest power in the
world. It had command of the United Nations, the
World Bank and the IMF, as well as setting up the
NATO military alliance. The US dollar reigned
supreme, and its value was tied to gold.
In 1954, Western
European elites worked together to form an
international think tank called the Bilderberg
Group, which would seek to link the political
economies of Western Europe and North America.
Every year, roughly 130 of the most powerful
people in academia, media, military, industry,
banking, and politics would meet to debate and
discuss key issues related to the expansion of
Western hegemony over the world and the re-shaping
of world order. They undertook, as one of their
key agendas, the formation of the European Union
and the Euro currency unit.
[See: Andrew Gavin Marshall, Controlling the
Global Economy: Bilderberg, the Trilateral
Commission and the Federal Reserve. Global
Research: August 3, 2009]
In 1971, Nixon
abandoned the dollar?s link to gold, which meant
that the dollar no longer had a fixed exchange
rate, but would change according to the whims and
choices of the Federal Reserve (the central bank
of the United States). One key
individual that was responsible for this choice
was the third highest official in the U.S.
Treasury Department at the time, Paul Volcker.[2]
Volcker got his
start as a staff economist at the New York Federal
Reserve Bank in the early 50s. After five years
there, ?David Rockefeller?s Chase Bank lured him
away.?[3] So in 1957, Volcker went to work at
Chase, where Rockefeller ?recruited him as his
special assistant on a congressional commission on
money and credit in America and for help, later,
on an advisory commission to the Treasury
Department.?[4] In the early 60s, Volcker went to
work in the Treasury Department, and returned to
Chase in 1965 ?as an aide to Rockefeller, this
time as vice president dealing with international
business.? With Nixon entering the White House,
Volcker got the third highest job in the Treasury
Department. This put him at the center of the
decision making process behind the dissolution of
the Bretton Woods agreement by abandoning the
dollar?s link to gold in 1971.[5]
In 1973, David
Rockefeller, the then-Chairman of Chase Manhattan
Bank and President of the Council on Foreign
Relations, created the Trilateral Commission,
which sought to expand upon the Bilderberg Group.
It was an international think tank, which would
include elites from Western Europe, North America,
and Japan, and was to align a ?trilateral?
political economic partnership between these
regions. It was to further the interests and
hegemony of the Western controlled world order.
That same year, the
Petri-dish experiment of neoliberalism was
undertaken in Chile. While a leftist government
was coming to power in Chile, threatening the
economic interests of not only David Rockefeller?s
bank, but a number of American corporations, David
Rockefeller set up meetings between Henry
Kissinger, Nixon?s National Security Adviser, and
a number of leading corporate industrialists.
Kissinger in turn, set up meetings between these
individuals and the CIA chief and Nixon himself.
Within a short while, the CIA had begun an
operation to topple the government of Chile.
On September 11,
1973, a Chilean General, with the help of the CIA,
overthrew the government of Chile and installed a
military dictatorship that killed thousands. The
day following the coup, a plan for an economic
restructuring of Chile was on the president?s
desk. The economic advisers from the University of
Chicago, where the ideas of Milton Freidman poured
out, designed the restructuring of Chile along
neoliberal lines.
Neoliberalism was
thus born in violence.
In 1973, a global
oil crisis hit the world. This was the result of
the Yom Kippur War, which took place in the Middle
East in 1973. However, much more covertly, it was
an American strategem. Right when the US dropped
the dollar?s peg to gold, the State Department had
quietly begun pressuring Saudi Arabia and other
OPEC nations to increase the price of oil. At the
1973 Bilderberg meeting, held six months before
the oil price rises, a 400% increase in the price
of oil was discussed. The discussion was over what
to do with the large influx of what would come to
be called ?petrodollars,? the oil revenues of the
OPEC nations.
Henry Kissinger
worked behind the scenes in 1973 to ensure a war
would take place in the Middle East, which
happened in October. Then, the OPEC nations
drastically increased the price of oil. Many newly
industrializing nations of the developing world,
free from the shackles of overt political and
economic imperialism, suddenly faced a problem:
oil is the lifeblood of an industrial society and
it is imperative in the process of development and
industrialization. If they were to continue to
develop and industrialize, they would need the
money to afford to do so.
Concurrently, the
oil producing nations of the world were awash with
petrodollars, bringing in record surpluses.
However, to make a profit, the money would need to
be invested. This is where the Western banking
system came to the scene. With the loss of the
dollar?s link to cold, the US currency could flow
around the world at a much faster rate. The price
of oil was tied to the price of the US dollar, and
so oil was traded in US dollars. OPEC nations thus
invested their oil money into Western banks, which
in turn, would ?recycle? that money by loaning it
to the developing nations of the world in need of
financing industrialization. It seemed like a
win-win situation: the oil nations make money,
invest it in the West, which loans it to the
South, to be able to develop and build ?western?
societies.
However, all things
do not end as fairy tales, especially when those
in power are threatened. An industrialized and
developed ?Global South? (Latin America, Africa,
and parts of Asia) would not be a good thing for
the established Western elites. If they wanted to
maintain their hegemony over the world, they must
prevent the rise of potential rivals, especially
in regions so rich in natural resources and the
global supplies of energy.
It was at this time
that the United States initiated talks with China.
The ?opening? of China was to be a Western project
of expanding Western capital into China. China
will be allowed to rise only so much as the West
allows it. The Chinese elite were happy to oblige
with the prospect of their own growth in political
and economic power. India and Brazil also followed
suit, but to a smaller degree than that of China.
China and India were to brought within the
framework of the Trilateral partnership, and in
time, both China and India would have officials
attending meetings of the Trilateral Commission.
So money flowed
around the world, primarily in the form of the US
dollar. Foreign central banks would buy US
Treasuries (debts) as an investment, which would
also show faith in the strength of the US dollar
and economy. The hegemony of the US dollar reached
around the world.
[See: Andrew Gavin Marshall, Controlling the
Global Economy: Bilderberg, the Trilateral
Commission and the Federal Reserve. Global
Research: August 3, 2009]
The
Hegemony of
Neoliberalism
In 1977, however, a
new US administration came to power under the
Presidency of Jimmy Carter, who was himself a
member of the Trilateral Commission. With his
administration, came another roughly two-dozen
members of the Trilateral Commission to fill key
positions within his government. In 1973, Paul
Volcker, the rising star through Chase Manhattan
and the Treasury Department became a member of the
Trilateral Commission. In 1975, he was made
President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York,
the most powerful of the 12 regional Fed banks. In
1979, Jimmy Carter gave the job of Treasury
Secretary to the former Governor of the Federal
Reserve System, and in turn, David Rockefeller
recommended Jimmy Carter appoint Paul Volcker as
Governor of the Federal Reserve Board, which
Carter quickly did.[6]
In 1979, the price
of oil skyrocketed again. This time, Paul Volcker
at the Fed was to take a different approach. His
response was to drastically increase interest
rates. Interest rates went from 2% in the late 70s
to 18% in the early 1980s. The effect this had was
that the US economy went into recession, and
greatly reduced its imports from developing
nations. A the same time, developing nations, who
had taken on heavy debt burdens to finance
industrialization, suddenly found themselves
having to pay 18% interest payments on their
loans. The idea that they could borrow heavily to
build an industrial society, which would in turn
pay off their loans, had suddenly come to a halt.
As the US dollar had spread around the world in
the forms of petrodollars and loans, the decisions
that the Fed made would affect the entire world.
In 1982, Mexico announced that it could no longer
service its debt, and defaulted on its loans. This
marked the spread of the 1980s debt crisis, which
spread throughout Latin America and across the
continent of Africa.
Suddenly, much of
the developing world was plunged into crisis.
Thus, the IMF and World Bank entered the scene
with their newly developed ?Structural Adjustment
Programs? (SAPs), which would encompass a country
in need signing an agreement, the SAP, which would
provide the country with a loan from the IMF, as
well as ?development? projects by the World Bank.
In turn, the country would have to undergo a
neoliberal restructuring of its country.
Neoliberalism
spread out of America and Britain in the 1980s;
through their financial empires and instruments ?
including the World Bank and IMF ? they spread the
neoliberal ideology around the globe. Countries
that resisted neoliberalism were subjected to
?regime change?. This would occur through
financial manipulation, via currency speculation
or the hegemonic monetary policies of the Western
nations, primarily the United States; economic
sanctions, via the United Nations or simply done
on a bilateral basis; covert regime change,
through ?colour revolutions? or coups,
assassinations; and sometimes overt military
campaigns and war.
The neoliberal
ideology consisted in what has often been termed
?free market fundamentalism.? This would entail a
massive wave of privatization, in which state
assets and industries are privatized in order to
become economically ?more productive and
efficient.? This would have the social effect of
leading to the firing of entire areas of the
public sector, especially health and education as
well as any specially protected national
industries, which for many poor nations meant
vital natural resources.
Then, the market
would be ?liberalized? which meant that
restrictions and impediments to foreign
investments in the nation would diminish by
reducing or eliminating trade barriers and tariffs
(taxes), and thus foreign capital (Western
corporations and banks) would be able to invest in
the country easily, while national industries that
grow and ?compete? would be able to more easily
invest in other nations and industries around the
world. The Central Bank of the nation would then
keep interest rates artificially low, to allow for
the easier movement of money in and out of the
country. The effect of this would be that foreign
multinational corporations and international banks
would be able to easily buy up the privatized
industries, and thus, buy up the national economy.
Simultaneously major national industries may be
allowed to grow and work with the global banks and
corporations. This would essentially oligopolize
the national economy, and bring it within the
sphere of influence of the ?global economy?
controlled by and for the Western elites.
The European
empires had imposed upon Africa and many other
colonized peoples around the world a system of
?indirect rule?, in which local governance
structures were restructured and reorganized into
a system where the local population is governed by
locals, but for the western colonial powers. Thus,
a local elite is created, and they enrich
themselves through the colonial system, so they
have no interest in challenging the colonial
powers, but instead seek to protect their own
interests, which happen to be the interests of the
empire.
In the era of
globalization, the leaders of the ?Third World?
have been co-opted and their societies reorganized
by and for the interests of the globalized elites.
This is a system of indirect rule, and the local
elites becoming ?indirect globalists?; they have
been brought within the global system and
structures of empire.
Following a
Structural Adjustment Program, masses of people
would be left unemployed; the prices of essential
commodities such as food and fuel would increase,
sometimes by hundreds of percentiles, while the
currency lost its value. Poverty would spread and
entire sectors of the economy would be shut down.
In the ?developing? world of Asia, Latin America
and Africa, these policies were especially
damaging. With no social safety nets to fall into,
the people would go hungry; the public state was
dismantled.
When it came to
Africa, the continent so rapidly de-industrialized
throughout the 1980s and into the 1990s that
poverty increased by incredible degrees. With
that, conflict would spread. In the 1990s, as the
harsh effects of neoliberal policies were easily
and quickly seen on the African continent, the
main notion pushed through academia, the media,
and policy circles was that the state of Africa
was due to the ?mismanagement? by Africans. The
blame was put solely on the national governments.
While national political and economic elites did
become complicit in the problems, the problems
were imposed from beyond the continent, not from
within.
Thus, in the 1990s,
the notion of ?good governance? became prominent.
This was the idea that in return for loans and
?help? from the IMF and World Bank, nations would
need to undertake reforms not only of the economic
sector, but also to create the conditions of what
the west perceived as ?good governance.? However,
in neoliberal parlance, ?good governance? implies
?minimal governance?, and governments still had to
dismantle their public sectors. They simply had to
begin applying the illusion of democracy, through
the holding of elections and allowing for the
formation of a civil society. ?Freedom? however,
was still to maintain simply an economic concept,
in that the nation would be ?free? for Western
capital to enter into.
While massive
poverty and violence spread across the continent,
people were given the ?gift? of elections. They
would elect one leader, who would then be locked
into an already pre-determined economic and
political structure. The political leaders would
enrich themselves at the expense of others, and
then be thrown out at the next election, or simply
fix the elections. This would continue, back and
forth, all the while no real change would be
allowed to take place. Western imposed ?democracy?
had thus failed.
An article in a
2002 edition of International Affairs,
the journal of the Royal Institute of
International Affairs (the British counter-part to
the Council on Foreign Relations), wrote
that:
In 1960 the average
income of the top 20 per cent of the world?s
population was 30 times that of the bottom 20 per
cent. By 1990 it was 60 times, ad by 1997, 74
times that of the lowest fifth. Today the assets
of the top three billionaires are more than the
combined GNP [Gross National Product] of all least
developed countries and their 600 million
people.
This has been the
context in which there has been an explosive
growth in the presence of Western as well as local
non-governmental organizations (NGOs) in Africa.
NGOs today form a prominent part of the
?development machine?, a vast institutional and
disciplinary nexus of official agencies,
practitioners, consultants, scholars and other
miscellaneous experts producing and consuming
knowledge about the ?developing world?.
[. . . ] Aid (in
which NGOs have come to play a significant role)
is frequently portrayed as a form of altruism, a
charitable act that enables wealth to flow from
rich to poor, poverty to be reduced and the poor
to be empowered.[7]
The authors then
explained that NGOs have a peculiar evolution in
Africa:
[T[heir role in
?development? represents a continuity of the work
of their precursors, the missionaries and
voluntary organizations that cooperated in
Europe?s colonization and control of Africa. Today
their work contributes marginally to the relief of
poverty, but significantly to undermining the
struggle of African people to emancipate
themselves from economic, social and political
oppression.[8]
The authors
examined how with the spread of neoliberalism, the
notion of a ?minimalist state? spread across the
world and across Africa. Thus, they explain, the
IMF and World Bank ?became the new commanders of
post-colonial economies.? However, these efforts
were not imposed without resistance, as, ?Between
1976 and 1992 there were 146 protests against
IMF-supported austerity measures [SAPs] in 39
countries around the world.? Usually, however,
governments responded with brute force, violently
oppressing demonstrations. However, the widespread
opposition to these ?reforms? needed to be
addressed by major organizations and ?aid?
agencies in re-evaluating their approach to
?development?:[9]
The outcome of
these deliberations was the ?good governance?
agenda in the 1990s and the decision to co-opt
NGOs and other civil society organizations to a
repackaged programme of welfare provision, a
social initiative that could be more accurately
described as a programme of social control.
The result was to
implement the notion of ?pluralism? in the form of
?multipartyism?, which only ended up in bringing
?into the public domain the seething divisions
between sections of the ruling class competing for
control of the state.? As for the ?welfare
initiatives?, the bilateral and multilateral aid
agencies set aside significant funds for
addressing the ?social dimensions of adjustment,?
which would ?minimize the more glaring
inequalities that their policies perpetuated.?
This is where the growth of NGOs in Africa rapidly
accelerated.[10]
Africa had again,
become firmly enraptured in the cold grip of
imperialism. Conflicts in Africa would be stirred
up by imperial foreign powers, often using ethnic
divides to turn the people against each other,
using the political leaders of African nations as
vassals submissive to Western hegemony. War and
conflict would spread, and with it, so too would
Western capital and the multinational corporation.
Building a
?New? Economy
While the
developing world fell under the heavy sword of
Western neoliberal hegemony, the Western
industrialized societies experienced a rapid
growth of their own economic strength. It was the
Western banks and multinational corporations that
spread into and took control of the economies of
Africa, Latin America, Asia, and with the fall of
the Soviet Union in 1991, Eastern Europe and
Central Asia.
Russia opened
itself up to Western finance, and the IMF and
World Bank swept in and imposed neoliberal
restructuring, which led to a collapse of the
Russian economy, and enrichment of a few
billionaire oligarchs who own the Russian economy,
and who are intricately connected with Western
economic interests; again, ?indirect globalists?.
As the Western
financial and commercial sectors took control of
the vast majority of the world?s resources and
productive industries, amassing incredible
profits, they needed new avenues in which to
invest. Out of this need for a new road to capital
accumulation (making money), the US Federal
Reserve stepped in to help out.
The Federal Reserve
in the 1990s began to ease interest rates lower
and lower to again allow for the easier spread of
money. This was the era of ?globalization,? where
proclamations of a ?New World Order? emerged.
Regional trading blocs and ?free trade? agreements
spread rapidly, as world systems of political and
economic structure increasingly grew out of the
national structure and into a supra-national form.
The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)
was implemented in an ?economic constitution for
North America? as Reagan referred to it.
Regionalism had
emerged as the next major phase in the
construction of the New World Order, with the
European Union being at the forefront. The world
economy was ?globalized? and so too, would the
political structure follow, on both regional and
global levels. The World Trade Organization (WTO)
was formed to maintain and enshrine global
neoliberal constitution for trade. All through
this time, a truly global ruling class emerged,
the Transnational Capitalist Class (TCC), or
global elite, which constituted a singular
international class.
However, as the
wealth and power of elites grew, everyone else
suffered. The middle class had been subjected to a
quiet dismantling. In the Western developed
nations, industries and factories closed down,
relocating to cheap Third World countries to
exploit their labour, then sell the products in
the Western world cheaply. Our living standards in
the West began to fall, but because we could buy
products for cheaper, no one seemed to complain.
We continued to consume, and we used credit and
debt to do so. The middle class existed only in
theory, but was in fact, beholden to the shackles
of debt.
The Clinton
administration used ?globalization? as its grand
strategy throughout the 1990s, facilitating the
decline of productive capital (as in, money that
flows into production of goods and services), and
implemented the rise finance capital (money made
on money). Thus, financial speculation became one
of the key tools of economic expansion. This is
what was termed the ?financialization? of the
economy. To allow this to occur, the Clinton
administration actively worked to deregulate the
banking sector. The Glass-Steagle Act, put in
place by FDR in 1933 to prevent commercial banks
from merging with investment banks and engaging in
speculation, (which in large part caused the Great
Depression), was slowly dismantled through the
coordinated efforts of America?s largest banks,
the Federal Reserve, and the US Treasury
Department.
Thus, a massive
wave of consolidation took place, as large banks
ate smaller banks, corporations merged, where
banks and corporations stopped being American or
European and became truly global. Some of the key
individuals that took part in the dismantling of
Glass-Steagle and the expansion of
?financialization? were Alan Greenspan at the
Federal Reserve and Robert Rubin and Lawrence
Summers at the Treasury Department, now key
officials in Obama?s economic team.
This era saw the
rise of ?derivatives? which are ?complex financial
instruments? that essentially act as short-term
insurance policies, betting and speculating that
an asset price or commodity would go up or go down
in value, allowing money to be made on whether
stocks or prices go up or down. However, it wasn?t
called ?insurance? because ?insurance? has to be
regulated. Thus, it was referred to as derivatives
trade, and organizations called Hedge Funds
entered the picture in managing the global trade
in derivatives.
The stock market
would go up as speculation on future profits drove
stocks higher and higher, inflating a massive
bubble in what was termed a ?virtual economy.? The
Federal Reserve facilitated this, as it had
previously done in the lead-up to the Great
Depression, by keeping interest rates artificially
low, and allowing for easy-flowing money into the
financial sector. The Federal Reserve thus
inflated the ?dot-com? bubble of the technology
sector. When this bubble burst, the Federal
Reserve, with Allen Greenspan at the helm, created
the ?housing bubble.?
The Federal Reserve
maintained low interest rates and actively
encouraged and facilitated the flow of money into
the housing sector. Banks were given free reign
and actually encouraged to make loans to high-risk
individuals who would never be able to pay back
their debt. Again, the middle class existed only
in the myth of the ?free market?.
Concurrently,
throughout the 1990s and into the early 2000s, the
role of speculation as a financial instrument of
war became apparent. Within the neoliberal global
economy, money could flow easily into and out of
countries. Thus, when confidence weakens in the
prospect of one nation?s economy, there can be a
case of ?capital flight? where foreign investors
sell their assets in that nation?s currency and
remove their capital from that country. This
results in an inevitable collapse of the nations
economy.
This happened to
Mexico in 1994, in the midst of joining NAFTA,
where international investors speculated against
the Mexican peso, betting that it would collapse;
they cashed in their pesos for dollars, which
devalued the peso and collapsed the Mexican
economy. This was followed by the East Asian
financial crisis in 1997, where throughout the
1990s, Western capital had penetrated East Asian
economies speculating in real estate and the stock
markets. However, this resulted in
over-investment, as the real economy, (production,
manufacturing, etc.) could not keep up with
speculative capital. Thus, Western capital feared
a crisis, and began speculating against the
national currencies of East Asian economies, which
triggered devaluation and a financial panic as
capital fled from East Asia into Western banking
sectors. The economies collapsed and then the IMF
came in to ?restructure? them accordingly. The
same strategy was undertaken with Russia in 1998,
and Argentina in 2001.
[See: Andrew Gavin Marshall, Forging a ?New
World Order? Under a One World Government. Global
Research: August 13, 2009]
Throughout the
2000s, the housing bubble was inflated beyond
measure, and around the middle of the decade, when
the indicators emerged of a crisis in the housing
market a commercial real estate bubble was formed.
This bubble has yet to burst.
The
2007-2008 Financial
Crisis
In 2007, the Bank
for International Settlements (BIS), the most
prestigious financial institution in the world and
the central bank to the world?s central banks,
issued a warning that the world is on the verge of
another Great Depression, ?citing mass issuance of
new-fangled credit instruments, soaring levels of
household debt, extreme appetite for risk shown by
investors, and entrenched imbalances in the world
currency system.?[11]
As the housing
bubble began to collapse, the commodity bubble was
inflated, where money went increasingly into
speculation, the stock market, and the price of
commodities soared, such as with the massive
increases in the price of oil between 2007 and
2008. In September of 2007, a medium-sized British
Bank called Northern Rock, a major partaker in the
loans of bad mortgages which turned out to be
worthless, sought help from the Bank of England,
which led to a run on the bank and investor panic.
In February of 2008, the British government bought
and nationalized Northern Rock.
In March of 2008,
Bear Stearns, an American bank that had been a
heavy lender in the mortgage real estate market,
went into crisis. On March 14, 2008, the Federal
Reserve Bank of New York worked with J.P. Morgan
Chase (whose CEO is a board member of the NY Fed)
to provide Bear Stearns with an emergency loan.
However, they quickly changed their mind, and the
CEO of JP Morgan Chase, working with the President
of the New York Fed, Timothy Geithner, and the
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson (former CEO of
Goldman Sachs), forced Bear Stearns to sell itself
to JP Morgan Chase for $2 a share, which had
previously traded at $172 a share in January of
2007. The merger was paid for by the Federal
Reserve of New York, and charged to the US
taxpayer.
In June of 2008,
the BIS again warned of an impending Great
Depression.[12]
In September of
2008, the US government took over Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac, the two major home mortgage
corporations. The same month, the global bank
Lehman Brothers declared bankruptcy, giving the
signal that no one is safe and that the entire
economy was on the verge of collapse. Lehman was a
major dealer in the US Treasury Securities market
and was heavily invested in home mortgages. Lehman
filed for bankruptcy on September 15, 2008,
marking the largest bankruptcy in US history. A
wave of bank consolidation spread across the
United States and internationally. The big banks
became much bigger as Bank of America swallowed
Merrill Lynch, JP Morgan ate Washington Mutual,
and Wells Fargo took over Wachovia.
In November of
2008, the US government bailed out the largest
insurance company in the world, AIG. The Federal
Reserve Bank of New York, with Timothy Geithner at
the helm:
[Bought out], for
about $30 billion, insurance contracts AIG sold on
toxic debt securities to banks, including Goldman
Sachs Group Inc., Merrill Lynch & Co., Societe
Generale and Deutsche Bank AG, among others. That
decision, critics say, amounted to a back-door
bailout for the banks, which received 100 cents on
the dollar for contracts that would have been
worth far less had AIG been allowed to
fail.
As
Bloomberg reported, since the New York
Fed is quasi-governmental, as in, it is given
government authority, but not subject to
government oversight, and is owned by the banks
that make up its board (such as JP Morgan Chase),
?It?s as though the New York Fed was a black-ops
outfit for the nation?s central bank.?[13]
The
Bailout
In the fall of
2008, the Bush administration sought to implement
a bailout package for the economy, designed to
save the US banking system. The leaders of the
nation went into rabid fear mongering. The
President warned:
More banks could
fail, including some in your community. The stock
market would drop even more, which would reduce
the value of your retirement account. The value of
your home could plummet. Foreclosures would rise
dramatically.
The head of the
Federal Reserve Board, Ben Bernanke, as well as
Treasury Secretary Paulson, in late September
warned of ?recession, layoffs and lost homes if
Congress doesn?t quickly approve the Bush
administration?s emergency $700 billion financial
bailout plan.?[14] Seven months prior, in February
of 2008, prior to the collapse of Bear Stearns,
both Bernanke and Paulson said ?the nation will
avoid falling into recession.?[15] In September of
2008, Paulson was saying that people ?should be
scared.?[16]
The bailout package
was made into a massive financial scam, which
would plunge the United States into unprecedented
levels of debt, while pumping incredible amounts
of money into major global banks.
The public was
told, as was the Congress, that the bailout was
worth $700 billion dollars. However, this was
extremely misleading, and a closer reading of the
fine print would reveal much more, in that $700
billion is the amount that could be spent ?at any
one time.? As Chris Martenson wrote:
This means that
$700 billion is NOT the cost of this dangerous
legislation, it is only the amount that can be
outstanding at any one time. After,
say, $100 billion of bad mortgages are disposed
of, another $100 billion can be bought. In short,
these four little words assure that there is NO
LIMIT to the potential size of this bailout. This
means that $700 billion is a rolling amount, not a
ceiling.
So what happens
when you have vague language and an unlimited
budget?
Fraud and self-dealing. Mark my
words, this is the largest looting operation ever
in the history of the US, and it's all spelled out
right in this delightfully brief document that is
about to be rammed through a scared Congress and
made into law.[17]
Further, the
proposed bill would ?raise the nation's debt
ceiling to $11.315 trillion from $10.615
trillion,? and that the actions taken as a result
of the passage of the bill would not be subject to
investigation by the nation?s court system, as it
would ?bar courts from reviewing actions taken
under its authority?:
The Bush
administration seeks ?dictatorial power
unreviewable by the third branch of government,
the courts, to try to resolve the crisis,? said
Frank Razzano, a former assistant chief trial
attorney at the Securities and Exchange Commission
now at Pepper Hamilton LLP in Washington. ?We are
taking a huge leap of faith.?[18]
Larisa
Alexandrovna, writing with the Huffington
Post, warned that the passage of the bailout
bill will be the final nails in the coffin of the
fascist coup over America, in the form of
financial fascists:
This manufactured
crisis is now to be remedied, if the fiscal
fascists get their way, with the total transfer of
Congressional powers (the few that still remain)
to the Executive Branch and the total transfer of
public funds into corporate (via government as
intermediary) hands.
[. . . ] The
Treasury Secretary can buy broadly defined assets,
on any terms he wants, he can hire anyone he wants
to do it and can appoint private sector companies
as financial deputies of the US government. And he
can write whatever regulation he thinks [is]
needed.
Decisions by the
Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act
are non-reviewable and committed to agency
discretion, and may not be reviewed by any court
of law or any administrative
agency.[19]
At the same time,
the US Federal Reserve was bailing out foreign
banks of hundreds of billions of dollars, ?that
are desperate for dollars and can?t access
America?s frozen credit markets ? a move
co-ordinated with central banks in Japan, the
Eurozone, Switzerland, Canada and here in the
UK.?[20] The moves would have been coordinated
through the Bank for International Settlements
(BIS) in Basle, Switzerland. As Politico reported,
?foreign-based banks with big U.S. operations
could qualify for the Treasury Department?s
mortgage bailout.? A Treasury Fact Sheet released
by the US Department of Treasury stated
that:
Participating
financial institutions must have significant
operations in the U.S., unless the Secretary makes
a determination, in consultation with the Chairman
of the Federal Reserve, that broader eligibility
is necessary to effectively stabilize financial
markets.[21]
So, the bailout
package would not only allow for the rescue of
American banks, but any banks internationally,
whether public or private, if the Treasury
Secretary deemed it ?necessary?, and that none of
the Secretary?s decisions could be reviewed or
subjected to oversight of any kind. Further, it
would mean that the Treasury Secretary would have
a blank check, but simply wouldn?t be able to hand
out more than $700 billion ?at any one time.? In
short, the bailout is in fact, a coup d?état by
the banks over the government.
Many Congressmen
were told that if they failed to pass the bailout
package, they were threatened with martial
law.[22] Sure enough, Congress passed the bill,
and the financial coup had been a profound
success.
No wonder then, in
early 2009, one Congressman reported that the
banks ?are still the most powerful lobby on
Capitol Hill. And they frankly own the place.?[23]
Another Congressman said that ?The banks run the
place,? and explained, ?I will tell you what the
problem is - they give three times more money than
the next biggest group. It's huge the amount of
money they put into politics.?[24]
The
Collapse of Iceland
On October 9th,
2008, the government of Iceland took control of
the nation?s largest bank, nationalizing it, and
halted trading on the Icelandic stock market.
Within a single week, ?the vast majority of
Iceland's once-proud banking sector has been
nationalized.? In early October, it was reported
that:
Iceland, which has
transformed itself from one of Europe's poorest
countries to one of its wealthiest in the space of
a generation, could face bankruptcy. In a
televised address to the nation, Prime Minister
Geir Haarde conceded: "There is a very real
danger, fellow citizens, that the Icelandic
economy in the worst case could be sucked into the
whirlpool, and the result could be national
bankruptcy."
An article in
BusinessWeek explained:
How did things get
so bad so fast? Blame the Icelandic banking
system's heavy reliance on external financing.
With the privatization of the banking sector,
completed in 2000, Iceland's banks used
substantial wholesale funding to finance their
entry into the local mortgage market and acquire
foreign financial firms, mainly in Britain and
Scandinavia. The banks, in large part, were simply
following the international ambitions of a new
generation of Icelandic entrepreneurs who forged
global empires in industries from retailing to
food production to pharmaceuticals. By the end of
2006, the total assets of the three main banks
were $150 billion, eight times the country's
GDP.
In just five years,
the banks went from being almost entirely domestic
lenders to becoming major international financial
intermediaries. In 2000, says Richard Portes, a
professor of economics at London Business School,
two-thirds of their financing came from domestic
sources and one-third from abroad. More
recently?until the crisis hit?that ratio was
reversed. But as wholesale funding markets seized
up, Iceland's banks started to collapse under a
mountain of foreign debt.[25]
This was the
grueling situation that faced the government at
the time of the global economic crisis. The
causes, however, were not Icelandic; they were
international. Iceland owed ?more than $60 billion
overseas, about six times the value of its annual
economic output. As a professor at London School
of Economics said, ?No Western country in
peacetime has crashed so quickly and so
badly?.?[26]
What went
wrong?
Iceland followed
the path of neoliberalism, deregulated banking and
financial sectors and aided in the spread and ease
of flow for international capital. When times got
tough, Iceland went into crisis, as the
Observer reported in early October
2008:
Iceland is on the
brink of collapse. Inflation and interest rates
are raging upwards. The krona, Iceland's currency,
is in freefall and is rated just above those of
Zimbabwe and Turkmenistan.
[. . . ] The
discredited government and officials from the
central bank have been huddled behind closed doors
for three days with still no sign of a plan.
International banks won't send any more money and
supplies of foreign currency are running
out.[27]
In 2007, the UN had
awarded Iceland the ?best country to live
in?:
The nation's
celebrated rags-to-riches story began in the
Nineties when free market reforms, fish quota cash
and a stock market based on stable pension funds
allowed Icelandic entrepreneurs to go out and
sweep up international credit. Britain and Denmark
were favourite shopping haunts, and in 2004 alone
Icelanders spent Ł894m on shares in British
companies. In just five years, the average
Icelandic family saw its wealth increase by 45 per
cent.[28]
As the third of
Iceland?s large banks was in trouble, following
the government takeover of the previous two, the
UK responded by freezing Icelandic assets in the
UK. Kaupthing, the last of the three banks
standing in early October, had many assets in the
UK.
On October 7th,
Iceland?s Central Bank governor told the media,
?We will not pay for irresponsible debtors and?not
for banks who have behaved irresponsibly.? The
following day, UK Chancellor of the Exchequer,
Alistair Darling, claimed that, ?The Icelandic
government, believe it or not, have told me
yesterday they have no intention of honoring their
obligations here,? although, Arni Mathiesen, the
Icelandic minister of finance, said, ?nothing in
this telephone conversation can support the
conclusion that Iceland would not honor its
obligation.?[29]
On October 10,
2008, UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown said, ?We are
freezing the assets of Icelandic companies in the
United Kingdom where we can. We will take further
action against the Icelandic authorities wherever
that is necessary to recover money.?
Thus:
Many Icelandic
companies operating in the U.K., in totally
unrelated industries, experienced their assets
being frozen by the U.K. government--as well as
other acts of seeming vengeance by U.K. businesses
and media.
The immediate
effect of the collapse of Kaupthing is that
Iceland's financial system is ruined and the
foreign exchange market shut down. Retailers are
scrambling to secure currency for food imports and
medicine. The IMF is being called in for
assistance.[30]
The UK had more
than Ł840m invested in Icelandic banks, and they
were moving in to save their investments,[31]
which just so happened to help spur on the
collapse of the Icelandic economy.
On October 24,
2008, an agreement between Iceland and the IMF was
signed. In late November, the IMF approved a loan
to Iceland of $2.1 billion, with an additional $3
billion in loans from Denmark, Finland, Norway,
Sweden, Russia, and Poland.[32] Why the agreement
to the loan took so long, was because the UK
pressured the IMF to delay the loan ?until a
dispute over the compensation Iceland owes savers
in Icesave, one of its collapsed banks, is
resolved.?[33]
In January of 2009,
the entire Icelandic government was ?formally
dissolved? as the government collapsed when the
Prime Minister and his entire cabinet resigned.
This put the opposition part in charge of an
interim government.[34] In July of 2009, the new
government formally applied for European Union
membership, however, ?Icelanders have
traditionally been skeptical of the benefits of
full EU membership, fearing that they would lose
some of their independence as a small state within
a larger political entity.?[35]
In August of 2009,
Iceland?s parliament passed a bill ?to repay
Britain and the Netherlands more than $5 billion
lost in Icelandic deposit accounts?:
Icelanders, already
reeling from a crisis that has left many
destitute, have objected to paying for mistakes
made by private banks under the watch of other
governments.
Their anger in
particular is directed at Britain, which used an
anti-terrorism law to seize Icelandic assets
during the crisis last year, a move which
residents said added insult to injury.
The government
argued it had little choice but to make good on
the debts if it wanted to ensure aid continued to
flow. Rejection could have led to Britain or the
Netherlands seeking to block aid from the
International Monetary Fund (IMF).[36]
Iceland is now in
the service of the IMF and its international
creditors. The small independent nation that for
so long had prided itself on a strong economy and
strong sense of independence had been brought to
its knees.
In mid-January of
2010, the IMF and Sweden together delayed their
loans to Iceland, due to Iceland?s ?failure to
reach a Ł2.3bn compensation deal with Britain and
the Netherlands over its collapsed Icesave
accounts.? Sweden, the UK and the IMF were
blackmailing Iceland to save UK assets in return
for loans.[37]
In February of
2010, it was reported that the EU would begin
negotiations with Iceland to secure Icelandic
membership in the EU by 2012. However, Iceland?s
?aspirations are now tied partially to a dispute
with the Netherlands and Britain over $5 billion
in debts lost in the country's banking collapse in
late 2008.?[38]
Iceland stood as a
sign of what was to come. The sovereign debt
crisis that brought Iceland to its knees had new
targets on the horizon.
Dubai Hit
By Financial Storm
In February of
2009, the Guardian reported that, ?A
six-year boom that turned sand dunes into a
glittering metropolis, creating the world's
tallest building, its biggest shopping mall and,
some say, a shrine to unbridled capitalism, is
grinding to a halt,? as Dubai, one of six states
that form the United Arab Emirates (UAE), went
into crisis. Further, ?the real estate bubble that
propelled the frenetic expansion of Dubai on the
back of borrowed cash and speculative investment,
has burst.?[39]
Months later, in
November of 2009, Dubai was plunged into a debt
crisis, prompting fears of sparking a double-dip
recession and the next wave of the financial
crisis. As the Guardian
reported:
Governments have
cut interest rates, created new electronic money
and allowed budget deficits to reach record levels
in an attempt to boost growth after the
near-collapse of the global financial system. [. .
. ] Despite having oil, it's still the case that
many of these countries had explosive credit
growth. It's very clear that in 2010, we've got
plenty more problems in store.[40]
The neighboring
oil-rich state of Abu Dhabi, however, came to the
rescue of Dubai with a $10 billion bailout
package, leading the Foreign Minister of the UAE
to declare Dubai?s financial crisis as
over.[41]
In mid-February of
2010, however, renewed fears of a debt crisis in
Dubai resurfaced; Morgan Stanley reported that,
?the cost to insure against a Dubai default [in
mid-February] shot up to the level it was at
during the peak of the city-state's debt crisis in
November.?[42] These fears resurfaced
as:
Investors switched
their attention to the Gulf [on February 15] as
markets reacted to fears that a restructuring plan
from the state-owned conglomerate Dubai World
would pay creditors only 60 per cent of the money
they are owed.[43]
Again, the aims
that governments seek in the unfolding debt crisis
is not to save their people from a collapsing
economy and inflated currency, but to save the
?interests? of their major banks and corporations
within each collapsing economy.
A Sovereign
Debt Crisis Hits Greece
In October of 2009,
a new Socialist government came to power in Greece
on the promise of injecting 3 billion euros to
reinvigorate the Greek economy.[44] Greece had
suffered particularly hard during the economic
crisis; it experienced riots and protests. In
December of 2009, Greece said it would not default
on its debt, but the government added, ?Salaried
workers will not pay for this situation: we will
not proceed with wage freezes or cuts. We did not
come to power to tear down the social state.? As
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard wrote for the
Telegraph in December of 2009:
Greece is being
told to adopt an IMF-style austerity package,
without the devaluation so central to IMF plans.
The prescription is ruinous and patently
self-defeating. Public debt is already 113pc of
GDP. The [European] Commission says it will reach
125pc by late 2010. It may top 140pc by
2012.
If Greece were to
impose the draconian pay cuts under way in Ireland
(5pc for lower state workers, rising to 20pc for
bosses), it would deepen depression and cause tax
revenues to collapse further. It is already too
late for such crude policies. Greece is past the
tipping point of a compound debt spiral.
Evans-Pritchard
wrote that the crisis in Greece had much to do
with the European Monetary Union (EMU), which
created the Euro, and made all member states
subject to the decisions of the European Central
Bank, as ?Interest rates were too low for Greece,
Portugal, Spain, and Ireland, causing them all to
be engulfed in a destructive property and wage
boom.? Further:
EU states may club
together to keep Greece afloat with loans for a
while. That solves nothing. It increases Greece's
debt, drawing out the agony. What Greece needs ?
unless it leaves EMU ? is a permanent subsidy from
the North. Spain and Portugal will need help
too.[45]
Greece?s debt had
soared, by early December 2009, to a spiraling
300-billion euros, as its ?financial woes have
also weighed on the euro currency, whose long-term
value depends on member countries keeping their
finances in order.? Further, Ireland, Spain and
Portugal were all facing problems with their debt.
As it turned out, the previous Greek government
had been cooking the books, and when the new
government came to power, it inherited twice the
federal deficit it had anticipated.[46]
In February of
2010, the New York Times revealed
that:
[W]ith Wall
Street?s help, [Greece] engaged in a decade-long
effort to skirt European debt limits. One deal
created by Goldman Sachs helped obscure billions
in debt from the budget overseers in Brussels.
Even as the crisis
was nearing the flashpoint, banks were searching
for ways to help Greece forestall the day of
reckoning. In early November ? three months before
Athens became the epicenter of global financial
anxiety ? a team from Goldman Sachs arrived in the
ancient city with a very modern proposition for a
government struggling to pay its bills, according
to two people who were briefed on the
meeting.
The bankers, led by
Goldman?s president, Gary D. Cohn, held out a
financing instrument that would have pushed debt
from Greece?s health care system far into the
future, much as when strapped homeowners take out
second mortgages to pay off their credit
cards.[47]
Even back in 2001,
when Greece joined the Euro-bloc, Goldman Sachs
helped the country ?quietly borrow billions? in a
deal ?hidden from public view because it was
treated as a currency trade rather than a loan,
[and] helped Athens to meet Europe?s deficit rules
while continuing to spend beyond its means.?
Further, ?Greece owes the world $300 billion, and
major banks are on the hook for much of that debt.
A default would reverberate around the globe.?
Both Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan Chase had
undertaken similar efforts in Italy and other
countries in Europe as well.[48]
In early February,
EU nations led by France and Germany met to
discuss a rescue package for Greece, likely with
the help of the European Central Bank and possibly
the IMF. The issue had plunged the Eurozone into a
crisis, as confidence in the Euro fell across the
board, and ?Germans have become so disillusioned
with the euro, many will not accept notes produced
outside their homeland.?[49]
Germany was
expected to bail out the Greek economy, much to
the dismay of the German people. As one German
politician stated, ?We cannot expect the citizens,
whose taxes are already too high, to go along with
supporting the erroneous financial and budget
policy of other states of the eurozone.? One
economist warned that the collapse of Greece could
lead to a collapse of the Euro:
There are enough
people speculating on the markets about the
possible bankruptcy of Greece, and once Greece
goes, they would then turn their attentions to
Spain and Italy, and Germany and France would be
forced to step in once again.[50]
However, the Lisbon
Treaty had been passed over 2009, which put into
effect a European Constitution, giving Brussels
enormous powers over its member states. As the
Telegraph reported on February 16, 2010,
the EU stripped Greece of its right to vote at a
crucial meeting to take place in March:
The council of EU
finance ministers said Athens must comply with
austerity demands by March 16 or lose control over
its own tax and spend policies altogether. It if
fails to do so, the EU will itself impose cuts
under the draconian Article 126.9 of the Lisbon
Treaty in what would amount to economic suzerainty
[i.e., foreign economic control].
While the symbolic
move to suspend Greece of its voting rights at one
meeting makes no practical difference, it marks a
constitutional watershed and represents a crushing
loss of sovereignty.
"We certainly won't
let them off the hook," said Austria's finance
minister, Josef Proll, echoing views shared by
colleagues in Northern Europe. Some German
officials have called for Greece to be denied a
vote in all EU matter until it emerges from
"receivership".
The EU has still
refused to reveal details of how it might help
Greece raise ?30bn (Ł26bn) from global debt
markets by the end of June.[51]
It would appear
that the EU is in a troubling position. If they
allow the IMF to rescue Greece, it would be a blow
to the faith in the Euro currency, whereas if they
bailout Greece, it will encourage internal
pressures within European countries to abandon the
Euro.
In early February,
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard wrote in the
Telegraph that, ?The Greek debt crisis
has spread to Spain and Portugal in a dangerous
escalation as global markets test whether Europe
is willing to shore up monetary union with muscle
rather than mere words?:
Julian Callow from
Barclays Capital said the EU may to need to invoke
emergency treaty powers under Article 122 to halt
the contagion, issuing an EU guarantee for Greek
debt. ?If not contained, this could result in a
`Lehman-style? tsunami spreading across much of
the EU.?
[. . . ] EU leaders
will come to the rescue in the end, but Germany
has yet to blink in this game of ?brinkmanship?.
The core issue is that EMU?s credit bubble has
left southern Europe with huge foreign
liabilities: Spain at 91pc of GDP (?950bn);
Portugal 108pc (?177bn). This compares with 87pc
for Greece (?208bn). By this gauge, Iberian
imbalances are worse than those of Greece, and the
sums are far greater. The danger is that foreign
creditors will cut off funding, setting off an
internal EMU version of the Asian financial crisis
in 1998.[52]
Fear began to
spread in regards to a growing sovereign debt
crisis, stretching across Greece, Spain and
Portugal, and likely much wider and larger than
that.
A Global
Debt Crisis
In 2007, the Bank
for International Settlements (BIS), ?the world's
most prestigious financial body,? warned of a
coming great depression, and stated that while in
a crisis, central banks may cut interest rates
(which they subsequently did). However, as the BIS
pointed out, while cutting interest rates may
help, in the long run it has the effect of ?sowing
the seeds for more serious problems further
ahead.?[53]
In the summer of
2008, prior to the apex of the 2008 financial
crisis in September and October, the BIS again
warned of the inherent dangers of a new Great
Depression. As Ambrose Evans-Pritchard wrote, ?the
ultimate bank of central bankers? warned that
central banks, such as the Federal Reserve, would
not find it so easy to ?clean up? the messes they
had made in asset-price bubbles.
The BIS report
stated that, ?It is not impossible that the
unwinding of the credit bubble could, after a
temporary period of higher inflation, culminate in
a deflation that might be hard to manage, all the
more so given the high debt levels.? As
Evans-Pritchard explained, ?this amounts to a
warning that monetary overkill by the Fed, the
Bank of England, and above all the European
Central Bank could prove dangerous at this
juncture.? The BIS report warned that, ?Global
banks - with loans of $37 trillion in 2007, or
70pc of world GDP - are still in the eye of the
storm.? Ultimately, the actions of central banks
were designed ?to put off the day of reckoning,?
not to prevent it.[54]
Seeing how the BIS
is not simply a casual observer, but is in fact
the most important financial institution in the
world, as it is where the world?s central bankers
meet and, in secret, decide monetary policy for
the world. As central banks have acted as the
architects of the financial crisis, the BIS
warning of a Great Depression is not simply a case
of Cassandra prophesying the Trojan Horse, but is
a case where she prophesied the horse, then opened
the gates of Troy and pulled the horse in.
It was within this
context that the governments of the world took on
massive amounts of debt and bailed out the
financial sectors from their accumulated risk by
buying their bad debts.
In late June of
2009, several months following Western governments
implementing bailouts and stimulus packages, the
world was in the euphoria of ?recovery.? At this
time, however, the Bank for International
Settlements released another report warning
against such complacency in believing in the
?recovery.? The BIS warned of only ?limited
progress? in fixing the financial system. The
article is worth quoting at length:
Instead of
implementing policies designed to clean up banks'
balance sheets, some rescue plans have pushed
banks to maintain their lending practices of the
past, or even increase domestic credit where it's
not warranted.
[. . . ] The lack
of progress threatens to prolong the crisis and
delay the recovery because a dysfunctional
financial system reduces the ability of monetary
and fiscal actions to stimulate the
economy.
That's because
without a solid banking system underpinning
financial markets, stimulus measures won't be
able to gain traction, and may only lead to a
temporary pickup in growth.
A fleeting
recovery could well make matters
worse, the BIS warns,
since further government support for banks is
absolutely necessary, but will become unpopular if
the public sees a recovery in hand. And
authorities may get distracted with sustaining
credit, asset prices and demand rather than
focusing on fixing bank balance sheets.
[. . . ] It warned
that despite the unprecedented measures in the
form of fiscal stimulus, interest rate cuts, bank
bailouts and quantitative easing, there is an
?open question? whether the policies will be able
to stabilize the global economy.
And as governments
bulk up their deficits to spend their way out of
the crisis, they need to be careful that their
lack of restraint doesn't come back to bite them,
the central bankers said. If governments don't
communicate a credible exit strategy, they will
find it harder to place debt, and could face
rising funding costs ? leading to spending
cuts or significantly higher
taxes.[55]
The BIS had thus
endorsed the bailout and stimulus packages, which
is no surprise, considering that the BIS is owned
by the central banks of the world, which in turn
are owned by the major global banks that were
?bailed out? by the governments. However, the BIS
warned that these rescue efforts, ?while
necessary? for the banks, will likely have
deleterious effects for national
governments.
The BIS warned
that, ?there?s a risk central banks will raise
interest rates and withdraw emergency liquidity
too late, triggering inflation?:
Central banks
around the globe have lowered borrowing costs to
record lows and injected billions of dollars [or,
more accurately, trillions] into the financial
system to counter the worst recession since World
War II. While some policy makers have stressed the
need to withdraw the emergency measures as soon as
the economy improves, the Federal Reserve, Bank of
England, and European Central Bank are still in
the process of implementing asset-purchase
programs designed to unblock credit markets and
revive growth.
?The big and
justifiable worry is that, before it can be
reversed, the dramatic easing in monetary policy
will translate into growth in the broader monetary
and credit aggregates,? the BIS said. That
will ?lead to inflation that feeds inflation
expectations or it may fuel yet another
asset-price bubble, sowing the seeds of the next
financial boom-bust cycle.?[56]
Of enormous
significance was the warning from the BIS that,
?fiscal stimulus packages may provide no more
than a temporary boost to growth, and be followed
by an extended period of economic
stagnation.? As the Australian
reported in late June:
The only
international body to correctly predict the
financial crisis - the Bank for International
Settlements (BIS) - has warned the biggest risk is
that governments might be forced by world bond
investors to abandon their stimulus packages, and
instead slash spending while lifting taxes and
interest rates.
Further, major
western countries such as Australia ?faced the
possibility of a run on the currency, which would
force interest rates to rise,? and ?Particularly
in smaller and more open economies, pressure on
the currency could force central banks to follow a
tighter policy than would be warranted by domestic
economic conditions.? Not surprisingly, the BIS
stated that, ?government guarantees and asset
insurance have exposed taxpayers to potentially
large losses,? through the bailouts and
stimulus packages, and ?stimulus programs will
drive up real interest rates and inflation
expectations,? as inflation ?would intensify as
the downturn abated.?[57]
In May of 2009,
Simon Johnson, former chief economist of the
International Monetary Fund (IMF), warned that
Britain faces a major struggle in the next phase
of the economic crisis:
[T]he mountain of
debt that had poisoned the financial system had
not disappeared overnight. Instead, it has been
shifted from the private sector onto the public
sector balance sheet. Britain has taken on
hundreds of billions of pounds of bank debt and
stands behind potentially trillions of dollars of
contingent liabilities.
If the first stage
of the crisis was the financial implosion and the
second the economic crunch, the third stage ? the
one heralded by Johnson ? is where governments
start to topple under the weight of this debt. If
2008 was a year of private sector bankruptcies,
2009 and 2010, it goes, will be the years of
government insolvency.
However, as dire as
things look for Britain, ?The UK is likely to be
joined by other countries as the full scale of the
downturn becomes apparent and more financial
skeletons are pulled from the sub-prime
closet.?[58]
In September of
2009, the former Chief Economist of the Bank for
International Settlements (BIS), William White,
who had accurately predicted the previous crisis,
warned that, ?The world has not tackled the
problems at the heart of the economic downturn and
is likely to slip back into recession.? He ?also
warned that government actions to help the economy
in the short run may be sowing the seeds for
future crises.? An article in the Financial
Times elaborated:
?Are we going into
a W[-shaped recession]? Almost certainly. Are we
going into an L? I would not be in the slightest
bit surprised,? [White] said, referring to the
risks of a so-called double-dip recession or a
protracted stagnation like Japan suffered in the
1990s.
?The only thing
that would really surprise me is a rapid and
sustainable recovery from the position we?re
in.?
The comments from
Mr White, who ran the economic department at the
central banks? bank from 1995 to 2008, carry
weight because he was one of the few senior
figures to predict the financial crisis in the
years before it struck.
Mr White repeatedly
warned of dangerous imbalances in the global
financial system as far back as 2003 and ?
breaking a great taboo in central banking circles
at the time ? he dared to challenge Alan
Greenspan, then chairman of the Federal Reserve,
over his policy of persistent cheap money [i.e.,
low interest rates].
[. . . ] Worldwide,
central banks have pumped [trillions] of dollars
of new money into the financial system over the
past two years in an effort to prevent a
depression. Meanwhile, governments have gone to
similar extremes, taking on vast sums of debt to
prop up industries from banking to car
making.
These measures may
already be inflating a bubble in asset prices,
from equities to commodities, he said, and there
was a small risk that inflation would get out of
control over the medium term if central banks
miss-time their ?exit strategies?.
Meanwhile, the
underlying problems in the global economy, such as
unsustainable trade imbalances between the US,
Europe and Asia, had not been resolved.[59]
In late September
of 2009, the General Manager of the BIS warned
governments against complacency, saying that, ?the
market rebound should not be misinterpreted,? and
that, ?The profile of the recovery is not
clear.?[60]
In September, the
Financial Times further reported that
William White, former Chief Economist at the BIS,
also ?argued that after two years of government
support for the financial system, we now have a
set of banks that are even bigger ? and more
dangerous ? than ever before,? which also, ?has
been argued by Simon Johnson, former chief
economist at the International Monetary Fund,? who
?says that the finance industry has in effect
captured the US government,? and pointedly stated:
?recovery will fail unless we break the financial
oligarchy that is blocking essential
reform.?[61]
In mid-September,
the BIS released a warning about the global
financial system, as ?The global market for
derivatives rebounded to $426 trillion in the
second quarter [of 2009] as risk appetite
returned, but the system remains unstable and
prone to crises.? The derivatives rose by 16%
?mostly due to a surge in futures and options
contracts on three-month interest rates.? In other
words, speculation is back in full force as
bailout money to banks in turn fed speculative
practices that have not been subjected to reform
or regulation. Thus, the problems that created the
previous crisis are still present and growing:
Stephen Cecchetti,
the [BIS] chief economist, said over-the-counter
markets for derivatives are still opaque and pose
"major systemic risks" for the financial system.
The danger is that regulators will again fail to
see that big institutions have taken far more
exposure than they can handle in shock conditions,
repeating the errors that allowed the giant US
insurer AIG to write nearly "half a trillion
dollars" of unhedged insurance through credit
default swaps.[62]
In late November of
2009, Morgan Stanley warned that, ?Britain risks
becoming the first country in the G10 bloc of
major economies to risk capital flight and a
full-blown debt crisis over coming months.? The
Bank of England may have to raise interest rates
?before it is ready -- risking a double-dip
recession, and an incipient compound-debt spiral.?
Further:
Morgan Stanley said
[the] sterling may fall a further 10pc in
trade-weighted terms. This would complete the
steepest slide in the pound since the industrial
revolution, exceeding the 30pc drop from peak to
trough after Britain was driven off the Gold
Standard in cataclysmic circumstances in
1931.[63]
As Ambrose
Evans-Pritchard wrote for the Telegraph,
this ?is a reminder that countries merely bought
time during the crisis by resorting to fiscal
stimulus and shunting private losses onto public
books,? and, while he endorsed the stimulus
packages claiming it was ?necessary,? he admitted
that the stimulus packages ?have not resolved the
underlying debt problem. They have storied up a
second set of difficulties by degrading sovereign
debt across much of the world.?[64] Morgan Stanley
said another surprise in 2010 could be a surge in
the dollar. However, this would be due to capital
flight out of Europe as its economies crumble
under their debt burdens and capital seeks a ?safe
haven? in the US dollar.
In December of
2009, the Wall Street Journal reported on
the warnings of some of the nation?s top
economists, who feared that following a financial
crisis such as the one experienced in the previous
two years, ?there's typically a wave of sovereign
default crises.? As economist Kenneth Rogoff
explained, ?If you want to know what's next on the
menu, that's a good bet,? as ?Spiraling government
debts around the world, from Washington to Berlin
to Tokyo, could set the scene for years of
financial troubles.? Apart from the obvious
example of Greece, other countries are at risk, as
the author of the article wrote:
Also worrying are
several other countries at the periphery of
Europe?the Baltics, Eastern European countries
like Hungary, and maybe Ireland and Spain. This is
where public finances are worst. And the handcuffs
of the European single currency, Prof. Rogoff
said, mean individual countries can't just print
more money to get out of their debts. (For the
record, the smartest investor I have ever known, a
hedge fund manager in London, is also anticipating
a sovereign debt crisis.)
[. . . ] The major
sovereign debt crises, he said, are probably a
couple of years away. The key issue is that this
time, the mounting financial troubles of the U.S.,
Germany and Japan mean these countries, once the
rich uncles of the world, will no longer have the
money to step in and rescue the more feckless
nieces and nephews.
Rogoff predicted
that, ?We're going to be raising taxes sky high,?
and that, ?we're probably going to see a lot of
inflation, eventually. We will have to. It's the
easiest way to reduce the value of those
liabilities in real terms.? Rogoff stated, ?The
way rich countries default is through inflation.?
Further, ?even U.S. municipal bonds won't be safe
from trouble. California could be among those
facing a default crisis.? Rogoff elaborated, ?It
wouldn't surprise me to see the Federal Reserve
buying California debt at some point, or some form
of bailout.?[65]
The bailouts,
particularly that of the United States, handed a
blank check to the world?s largest banks. As
another favour, the US government put those same
banks in charge of ?reform? and ?regulation? of
the banking industry. Naturally, no reform or
regulation took place. Thus, the money given to
banks by the government can be used in financial
speculation. As the sovereign debt crisis unfolds
and spreads around the globe, the major
international banks will be able to create
enormous wealth in speculation, rapidly pulling
their money out of one nation in debt crisis,
precipitating a collapse, and moving to another,
until all the dominoes have fallen, and the banks
stand larger, wealthier, and more powerful than
any nation or institution on earth (assuming they
already aren?t). This is why the bankers were so
eager to undertake a financial coup of the United
States, to ensure that no actual reform took
place, that they could loot the nation of all it
has, and profit off of its eventual collapse and
the collapse of the global economy. The banks have
been saved! Now everyone else must pay.
Edmund Conway, the
Economics Editor of the Telegraph,
reported in early January of 2010, that throughout
the year:
[S]overeign credit
will buckle under the strain of [government]
deficits; the economic recovery will falter as the
Government withdraws its fiscal stimulus measures
and more companies will continue to fail. In other
words, 2010 is unlikely to be the year of a
V-shaped recovery.[66]
In other words, the
?recovery? is an illusion. In mid-January of 2010,
the World Economic Forum released a report in
which it warned that, ?There is now more than a
one-in-five chance of another asset price bubble
implosion costing the world more than Ł1 trillion,
and similar odds of a full-scale sovereign fiscal
crisis.? The report warned of a simultaneous
second financial crisis coupled with a major
fiscal crisis as countries default on their debts.
The report ?also warned of the possibility of
China's economy overheating and, instead of
helping support global economic growth, preventing
a fully-fledged recovery from developing.?
Further:
The report, which
in previous years had been among the first to cite
the prospect of a financial crisis, the oil crisis
that preceded it and the ongoing food crisis,
included a list of growing risks threatening
leading economies. Among the most likely, and
potentially most costly, is a sovereign debt
crisis, as some countries struggle to afford the
unprecedented costs of the crisis clean-up, the
report said, specifically naming the UK and the
US.
[. . .] The report
also highlights the risk of a further asset price
collapse, which could derail the nascent economic
recovery across the world, with particular concern
surrounding China, which some fear may follow the
footsteps Japan trod in the 1990s.[67]
Nouriel Roubini,
one of America?s top economists who predicted the
financial crisis, wrote an article in
Forbes in January of 2010 explaining
that, ?the severe recession, combined with a
financial crisis during 2008-09, worsened the
fiscal positions of developed countries due to
stimulus spending, lower tax revenues and support
to the financial sector.? He warned that the debt
burden of major economies, including the US, Japan
and Britain, would likely increase. With this,
investors will become wary of the sustainability
of fiscal markets and will begin to withdraw from
debt markets, long considered ?safe havens.?
Further:
Most central banks
will withdraw liquidity starting in 2010, but
government financing needs will remain high
thereafter. Monetization and increased debt
issuances by governments in the developed world
will raise inflation expectations.
As interest rates
rise, which they will have to in a tightening of
monetary policy, (which up until now have been
kept artificially low so as to encourage the
spread of liquidity around the world), interest
payments on the debt will increase dramatically.
Roubini warned:
The U.S. and Japan
might be among the last to face investor
aversion?the dollar is the global reserve currency
and the U.S. has the deepest and most liquid debt
markets, while Japan is a net creditor and largely
finances its debt domestically. But investors will
turn increasingly cautious even about these
countries if the necessary fiscal reforms are
delayed.[68]
Governments will
thus need to drastically increase taxes and cut
spending. Essentially, this will amount to a
global ?Structural Adjustment Program? (SAP) in
the developed, industrialized nations of the West.
Where SAPs imposed
upon ?Third World? debtor nations would provide a
loan in return for the dismantling of the public
state, higher taxes, growing unemployment, total
privatization of state industries and deregulation
of trade and investment, the loans provided by the
IMF and World Bank would ultimately benefit
Western multinational corporations and banks. This
is what the Western world now faces: we bailed out
the banks, and now we must pay for it, through
massive unemployment, increased taxes, and the
dismantling of the public sphere.
In February of
2010, Niall Ferguson, a prominent British economic
historian, wrote an article for the Financial
Times entitled, ?A Greek Crisis Coming to
America.? He starts by explaining that, ?It began
in Athens. It is spreading to Lisbon and Madrid.
But it would be a grave mistake to assume that the
sovereign debt crisis that is unfolding will
remain confined to the weaker eurozone economies.?
He explained that this is not a crisis confined to
one region, ?It is a fiscal crisis of the western
world,? and ?Its ramifications are far more
profound than most investors currently
appreciate.? Ferguson writes that, ?the problem is
essentially the same from Iceland to Ireland to
Britain to the US. It just comes in widely
differing sizes,? and the US is no small
risk:
For the world?s
biggest economy, the US, the day of reckoning
still seems reassuringly remote. The worse things
get in the eurozone, the more the US dollar
rallies as nervous investors park their cash in
the ?safe haven? of American government debt. This
effect may persist for some months, just as the
dollar and Treasuries rallied in the depths of the
banking panic in late 2008.
Yet even a casual
look at the fiscal position of the federal
government (not to mention the states) makes a
nonsense of the phrase ?safe haven?. US government
debt is a safe haven the way Pearl Harbor was a
safe haven in 1941.
Ferguson points out
that, ?The long-run projections of the
Congressional Budget Office suggest that the US
will never again run a balanced budget. That?s
right, never.? Ferguson explains that debt will
hurt major economies:
By raising fears of
default and/or currency depreciation ahead of
actual inflation, they push up real interest
rates. Higher real rates, in turn, act as drag on
growth, especially when the private sector is also
heavily indebted ? as is the case in most western
economies, not least the US.
Although the US
household savings rate has risen since the Great
Recession began, it has not risen enough to absorb
a trillion dollars of net Treasury issuance a
year. Only two things have thus far stood between
the US and higher bond yields: purchases of
Treasuries (and mortgage-backed securities, which
many sellers essentially swapped for Treasuries)
by the Federal Reserve and reserve accumulation by
the Chinese monetary authorities.[69]
In late February of
2010, the warning signs were flashing red that
interest rates were going to have to rise, taxes
increase, and the burden of debt would need to be
addressed.
China
Begins to Dump US Treasuries
US Treasuries are
US government debt that is issued by the US
Treasury Department, which are bought by foreign
governments as an investment. It is a show of
faith in the US economy to buy their debt (i.e.,
Treasuries). In buying a US Treasury, you are
lending money to the US government for a certain
period of time.
However, as the
United States has taken on excessive debt loads to
save the banks from crisis, the prospect of buying
US Treasuries has become less appealing, and the
threat that they are an unsafe investment is
ever-growing. In February of 2009, Hilary Clinton
urged China to continue buying US Treasuries in
order to finance Obama?s stimulus package. As an
article in Bloomberg pointed
out:
The U.S. is the
single largest buyer of the exports that drive
growth in China, the world?s third-largest
economy. China in turn invests surplus earnings
from shipments of goods such as toys, clothing and
steel primarily in Treasury securities, making it
the world?s largest holder of U.S. government debt
at the end of last year with $696.2
billion.[70]
The following
month, the Chinese central bank announced that
they would continue buying US Treasuries.[71]
However, in
February of 2009, Warren Buffet, one of the
world?s richest individuals, warned against buying
US Treasuries:
Buffett said that
with the U.S. Federal Reserve and Treasury
Department going "all in" to jump-start an economy
shrinking at the fastest pace since 1982,
"once-unthinkable dosages" of stimulus will likely
spur an "onslaught" of inflation, an enemy of
fixed-income investors.
"The investment
world has gone from underpricing risk to
overpricing it," Buffett wrote. "Cash is earning
close to nothing and will surely find its
purchasing power eroded over time."
"When the financial
history of this decade is written, it will surely
speak of the Internet bubble of the late 1990s and
the housing bubble of the early 2000s," he went
on. "But the U.S. Treasury bond bubble of late
2008 may be regarded as almost equally
extraordinary."[72]
In September of
2009, an article on CNN reported of the dangers if
China were to start dumping US Treasuries, which
?could cause longer-term interest rates to shoot
up since bond prices and yields move in opposite
directions,? as a weakening US currency could lead
to inflation, which would in turn, reduce the
value and worth of China?s holdings in US
Treasuries.[73]
It has become a
waiting game; an economic catch-22: China holds US
debt (Treasuries) which allows the US to spend to
?save the economy? (or more accurately, the
banks), but all the spending has plunged the US
into such abysmal debt from which it will never be
able to emerge. The result is that inflation will
likely occur, with a possibility of
hyperinflation, thus reducing the value of the US
currency. China?s economy is entirely dependent
upon the US as a consumer economy, while the US is
dependent upon China as a buyer and holder of US
debt. Both countries are delaying the inevitable.
If China doesn?t want to hold worthless
investments (US debt) it must stop buying US
Treasuries, and then international faith in the US
currency would begin to fall, forcing interest
rates to rise, which could even precipitate a
speculative assault against the US dollar. At the
same time, a collapsing US currency and economy
would not help China?s economy, which would tumble
with it. So, it has become a waiting game.
In February of
2010, the Financial Times reported that
China had begun in December of 2009, the process
of dumping US Treasuries, and thus falling behind
Japan as the largest holder of US debt, selling
approximately $38.8 billion of US Treasuries, as
?Foreign demand for US Treasury bonds fell by a
record amount?:
The fall in demand
comes as countries retreat from the "flight to
safety" strategy they embarked on at the peak of
the global financial crisis and could mean the US
will have to pay more in debt interest.
For China, the sale
of US Treasuries marks a reversal that it
signalled last year when it said it would begin to
reduce some of its holdings. Any changes in its
behaviour are politically sensitive because it is
the biggest US trade partner and has helped to
finance US deficits.
Alan Ruskin, a
strategist at RBS Securities, said that China's
behaviour showed that it felt "saturated" with
Treasury paper. The change of sentiment could hurt
the dollar and the Treasury market as the US has
to look to other countries for
financing.[74]
So, China has given
the US a vote of non-confidence. This is evident
of the slippery-slide down the road to a collapse
of the US economy, and possibly, the US dollar,
itself.
Is a Debt
Crisis Coming to America?
All the warning
signs are there: America is in dire straights when
it comes to its total debt, proper actions have
not been taken to reform the monetary or financial
systems, the same problems remain prevalent, and
the bailout and stimulus packages have further
exposed the United States to astronomical debt
levels. While the dollar will likely continue to
go up as confidence in the Eurozone economies
tumbles, this is not because the dollar is a good
investment, but because the dollar is simply a
better investment (for now) than the Euro, which
isn?t saying much.
The Chinese moves
to begin dumping US Treasuries is a signal that
the issue of American debt has already weighed in
on the functions and movements of the global
financial system. While the day of reckoning may
be months if not years away, it is coming
nonetheless.
On February 15, it
was reported that the Federal Reserve, having
pumped $2.2 trillion into the economy, ?must start
pulling that money back.? As the Fed reportedly
bought roughly $2 trillion in bad assets, it is
now debating ?how and when to sell those
assets.?[75] As the Korea Times reported,
?The problem: Do it too quickly and the Fed might
cut off or curtail the recovery. Wait too long and
risk setting off a punishing round of
inflation.?[76]
In mid-February,
there were reports of dissent within the Federal
Reserve System, as Thomas Hoenig, president of the
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, warned that,
?The US must fix its growing debt problems or risk
a new financial crisis.? He explained, ?that
rising debt was infringing on the central bank?s
ability to fulfill its goals of maintaining price
stability and long-term economic growth.? In
January, he was the lone voice at a Fed meeting
that said interest rates should not remain near
zero for an ?extended period.? He said the worst
case scenario would be for the US government to
have to again ask the Fed to print more money, and
instead suggested that, ?the administration must
find ways to cut spending and generate revenue,?
admitting that it would be a ?painful and
politically inconvenient? process.[77]
However, these
reports are largely disingenuous, as it has placed
focus on a superficial debt level. The United
States, even prior to the onset of the economic
crisis in 2007 and 2008, had long been a reckless
spender. The cost of maintaining an empire is
astronomical and beyond the actual means of any
nation. Historically, the collapse of empires has
as much or more to do with a collapse in their
currency and fiscal system than their military
defeat or collapse in war. Also important to note
is that these processes are not mutually
exclusive, but are, in fact, intricately
interconnected.
As empires decline,
the world order is increasingly marred in economic
crises and international conflict. As the crisis
in the economy worsens, international conflict and
wars spread. As I have amply documented elsewhere,
the United States, since the end of World War II,
has been the global hegemon: maintaining the
largest military force in the world, and not
shying away from using it, as well as running the
global monetary system. Since the 1970s, the US
dollar has acted as a world reserve currency.
Following the collapse of the USSR, the grand
imperial strategy of America was to dominate
Eurasia and control the world militarily and
economically.
[See: Andrew Gavin Marshall, An Imperial
Strategy for a New World Order: The Origins of
World War III. Global Research: October 16,
2009]
Throughout the
years of the Bush administration, the imperial
strategy was given immense new life under the
guise of the ?war on terror.? Under this banner,
the United States declared war on the world and
all who oppose its hegemony. All the while, the
administration colluded with the big banks and the
Federal Reserve to artificially maintain the
economic system. In the latter years of the Bush
administration, this illusion began to come
tumbling down. Never before in history has such a
large nation wages multiple major theatre wars
around the world without the public at home being
fiscally restrained in some manner, either through
higher taxes or interest rates. In fact, it was
quite the opposite. The trillion dollar wars
plunged the United States deeper into
debt.
By 2007, the year
that Northern Rock collapsed in the UK, signaling
the start of the collapse of 2008, the total debt
? domestic, commercial and consumer debt ? of the
United States stood at a shocking $51
trillion.[78]
As if this debt
burden was not enough, considering it would be
impossible to ever pay back, the past two years
has seen the most expansive and rapid debt
expansion ever seen in world history ? in the form
of stimulus and bailout packages around the world.
In July of 2009, it was reported that, ?U.S.
taxpayers may be on the hook for as much as $23.7
trillion to bolster the economy and bail out
financial companies, said Neil Barofsky, special
inspector general for the Treasury?s Troubled
Asset Relief Program.?[79]
That is worth
noting once again: the ?bailout? bill implemented
under Bush, and fully supported and sponsored by
President-elect Obama, has possibly bailed out the
financial sector of up to $23.7 trillion. How
could this be? After all, the public was told that
the ?bailout? was $700 billion.
In fact, the fine
print in the bailout bill revealed that $700
billion was not a ceiling, as in, $700 billion was
not the maximum amount of money that could be
injected into the banks; it was the maximum that
could be injected into the financial system ?at
any one time.? Thus, it became a ?rolling amount.?
It essentially created a back-door loophole for
the major global banks, both domestic and foreign,
to plunder the nation and loot it entirely. There
was no limit to the money banks could get from the
Fed. And none of the actions would be subject to
review or oversight by Congress or the Judiciary,
i.e., the people.[80]
This is why, as
Obama became President in late January of 2009,
his administration fully implemented the financial
coup over the United States. The man who had been
responsible for orchestrating the bailout of AIG,
the buyout of Bear Stearns as a gift for JP Morgan
Chase, and had been elected to run the Federal
Reserve Bank of New York by the major global banks
in New York (chief among them, JP Morgan Chase),
had suddenly become Treasury Secretary under
Obama. The Fed, and thus, the banks were now put
directly in charge of the looting.
Obama then took on
a team of economic advisers that made any astute
economic observer flinch in terror. The titans of
economic crisis and catastrophe had become the fox
in charge of the chicken coop. Those who were
instrumental in creating and constructing the
economic crises of the previous decades and
building the instruments and infrastructure that
led to the current crisis, were with Obama,
brought in to ?solve? the crisis they created.
Paul Volcker, former Chairman of the Federal
Reserve and architect of the 1980s debt crisis,
was now a top economic adviser to Obama. As well
as this, Lawrence Summers joined Obama?s economic
team, who had previously been instrumental in Bill
Clinton?s Treasury Department in dismantling all
banking regulations and creating the market for
speculation and derivatives which directly led to
the current crisis.
In short, the
financial oligarchy is in absolute control of the
United States government. Concurrently, the
military structure of the American empire has
firmly established its grip over foreign policy,
as America?s wars are expanded into Pakistan,
Yemen, and potentially Iran.
Make no mistake, a
crisis is coming to America, it is only a question
of when, and how severe.
Imperial
Decline and the Rise of the New World
Order
The decline of the
American empire, an inevitable result of its
half-century of exerting its political and
economic hegemony around the world, is not an
isolated event in the global political economy.
The US declines concurrently with the rise of what
is termed the ?New World Order.?
America has been
used by powerful western banking and corporate
interests as an engine of empire, expanding their
influence across the globe. Banks have no armies,
so they must control nations; banks have no
products, so they must control industries; banks
have only money, and interest earned on it. Thus,
they must ensure that industry and governments
alike borrow money en masse to the point where
they are so indebted, they can never emerge. As a
result, governments and industries become
subservient to the banking interests. Banks
achieved this masterful feat through the
construction of the global central banking
system.
Bankers took
control first of Great Britain through the Bank of
England, building up the massive might of the
British Empire, and spread into the rest of
Europe, creating central banks in the major
European empires. In the 20th Century, the central
bankers took control of the United States through
the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913, prior
to the outbreak of World War I.
[See: Andrew Gavin Marshall, Global Power
and Global Government: Evolution and Revolution of
the Central Banking System. Global Research: July
21, 2009]
Following World War
I, a restructuring of the world order was
undertaken. In part, these actions paved the way
to the Great Depression, which struck in 1929. The
Great Depression was created as a result of the
major banks engaging in speculation, which was
actively encouraged and financed by the Federal
Reserve and other major central banks.
As a result of the
Great Depression, a new institution was formed,
the Bank for International Settlements (BIS),
based in Basle, Switzerland. As historian Carroll
Quigley explained, the BIS was formed to ?remedy
the decline of London as the world?s financial
center by providing a mechanism by which a world
with three chief financial centers in London, New
York, and Paris could still operate as one.? He
explained:
[T]he powers of
financial capitalism had another far-reaching aim,
nothing less than to create a world system of
financial control in private hands able to
dominate the political system of each country and
the economy of the world as a whole. This system
was to be controlled in a feudalist fashion by the
central banks of the world acting in concert, by
secret agreements arrived at in frequent private
meetings and conferences. The apex of the system
was to be the Bank for International Settlements
in Basle, Switzerland, a private bank owned and
controlled by the world?s central banks which were
themselves private corporations.[81]
The new order that
is being constructed is not one in which there is
another single global power, as many commentators
suggest China may become, but rather that a
multi-polar world order is constructed, in which
the global political economy is restructured into
a global governance structure: in short, the new
world order is to be marked by the construction of
a world government.
This is the context
in which the solutions to the global economic
crisis are being implemented. In April of 2009,
the G20 set into motion the plans to form a global
currency, which would presumably replace the US
dollar as the world reserve currency. This new
currency would either be operated through the IMF
or the BIS, and would be a reserve currency whose
value is determined as a basket of currencies
(such as the dollar, yen, euro, etc), which would
play off of one another, and whose value would be
fixed to the global currency.
This process is
being implemented, through long-term planning,
simultaneously as we see the further emergence of
regional currencies, as not only the Euro, but
plans and discussions for other regional
currencies are underway in North America, South
America, the Gulf states, Africa and East Asia.
A 1988 article in
the Economist foretold of a coming global
currency by 2018, in which the author wrote that
countries would have to give up monetary and
economic sovereignty, however:
Several more
big exchange-rate upsets, a few more stockmarket
crashes and probably a slump or two will be needed
before politicians are willing to face squarely up
to that choice. This points to a muddled
sequence of emergency followed by patch-up
followed by emergency, stretching out far beyond
2018-except for two things. As time passes, the
damage caused by currency instability is gradually
going to mount; and the very trends that will make
it mount are making the utopia of monetary union
feasible.[82]
To create a global
currency, and thus a global system of economic
governance, the world would have to be plunged
into economic and currency crises to force
governments to take the necessary actions in
moving towards a global currency.
From 1998 onwards,
there have been several calls for the formation of
a global central bank, and in the midst of the
global economic crisis of 2008, renewed calls and
actual actions and efforts undertaken by the G20
have sped up the development of a ?global Fed? and
world currency. A global central bank is being
offered as a solution to prevent a future global
economic crisis from occurring.
[See: Andrew Gavin Marshall, The Financial
New World Order: Towards a Global Currency and
World Government. Global Research: April 6,
2009]
In March of 2008,
closely following the collapse of Bear Stearns, a
major financial firm released a report stating
that, ?Financial firms face a ?new world order?,?
and that major banks would become much larger
through mergers and acquisitions. There would be a
new world order of banking consolidation.[83]
In November of
2008, The National, a prominent United
Arab Emirate newspaper, reported on Baron David de
Rothschild accompanying Prime Minister Gordon
Brown on a visit to the Middle East, although not
as a ?part of the official party? accompanying
Brown. Following an interview with the Baron, it
was reported that, ?Rothschild shares most
people?s view that there is a new world order. In
his opinion, banks will deleverage and there will
be a new form of global
governance.?[84]
In February of
2009, the Times Online reported that a
?New world order in banking [is] necessary,? and
that, ?It is increasingly evident that the world
needs a new banking system and that it should not
bear much resemblance to the one that has failed
so spectacularly.?[85] However, what the article
fails to point out is that the ?new world order in
banking? is to be constructed by the
bankers.
This process is
going hand-in-hand with the formation of a new
world order in global political structures,
following the economic trends. As regionalism was
spurred by economic initiatives, such as regional
trading blocs and currency groupings, the
political structure of a regional government
followed closely behind. Europe was the first to
undertake this initiative, with the formation of a
European trading bloc, which became an economic
union and eventually a currency union, and which,
as a result of the recently passed Lisbon Treaty,
is being formally established into a political
union.
[See: Andrew Gavin Marshall, Forging a ?New
World Order? Under a One World Government. Global
Research: August 13, 2009]
The new world order
consists of the formation of regional governance
structures, which are themselves submissive to a
global governance structure, both economically and
politically.
?New
Capitalism?
In the construction
of a ?New World Order?, the capitalist system is
under intense reform. Capitalism has, since its
inception, altered its nature and forms. In the
midst of the current global economic crisis, the
construction of the ?New Capitalism? is based upon
the ?China model?; that is, ?Totalitarian
Capitalism?.
Governments will no
longer stand behind the ?public relations? ?
propagandized illusion of ?protecting the people?.
When an economy collapses, the governments throw
away their public obligations, and act for the
interests of their private owners. Governments
will come to the aid of the powerful banks and
corporations, not the people, as ?The bourgeoisie
resorts to fascism less in response to
disturbances in the street than in response to
disturbances in their own economic system.?[86]
During a large economic crisis:
[The state] rescues
business enterprises on the brink of bankruptcy,
forcing the masses to foot the bill. Such
enterprises are kept alive with subsidies, tax
exemptions, orders for public works and armaments.
In short, the state thrusts itself into the breach
left by the vanishing private customers. [. . . ]
Such maneuvers are difficult under a democratic
regime [because people still] have some means of
defense [and are] still capable of setting some
limit to the insatiable demands of the money
power. [In] certain countries and under certain
conditions, the bourgeoisie throws its traditional
democracy overboard.[87]
Those who proclaim
the actions of western governments ?socialist? are
misled, as the ?solutions? are of a different
nature. Daniel Guerin wrote in Fascism and Big
Business about the nature of the fascist
economies of Italy and Germany in the lead up to
World War II. Guerin wrote of the actions of
Italian and German governments to bail out big
businesses and banks in an economic
crisis:
It would be a
mistake to interpret this state intervention as
?socialist? in character. It is brought about not
in the interest of the community but in the
exclusive interest of the
capitalists.[88]
Fascist economic
policy:
[I]ssues paper and
ruins the national currency at the expense of all
the people who live on fixed incomes from
investments, savings, pensions, government
salaries, etc., - and also the working class,
whose wages remain stable or lag far behind the
rise in the cost of living. [. . .] The enormous
expenses of the fascist state do not appear in the
official budget, [hiding the inflation].[89]
[. . . ] The hidden
inflation produces the same effects as open
inflation: the purchasing power of money is
lessened.[90]
The bureaucracy of
the fascist state becomes much more powerful in
directing the economy, and is advised by the
?capitalist magnates?, who ?become the economic
high command ? no longer concealed, as previously,
but official ? of the state. Permanent contact is
established between them and the bureaucratic
apparatus. They dictate, and the bureaucracy
executes.?[91] This is exactly the nature of the
Treasury Department and Federal Reserve, most
especially since the Obama administration took
office.
In November of
2008, the National Intelligence Council (NIC)
issued a report in collaboration between all
sixteen US intelligence agencies and major
international foundations and think tanks, in
which they assessed and analyzed general trends in
the world until 2025. When it reported on trends
in ?democratization?, discussing the spread and
nature of democracy in the world, the report
warned:
[A]dvances [in
democracy] are likely to slow and globalization
will subject many recently democratized countries
to increasing social and economic pressures that
could undermine liberal institutions. [. . . ] The
better economic performance of many authoritarian
governments could sow doubts among some about
democracy as the best form of government.
[. . . ] Even in
many well-established democracies [i.e., the
West], surveys show growing frustration with the
current workings of democratic government and
questioning among elites over the ability of
democratic governments to take the bold actions
necessary to deal rapidly and effectively with the
growing number of transnational
challenges.[92]
The warning from
Daniel Guerin is vital to understanding this
trend: ?The bourgeoisie resorts to fascism less in
response to disturbances in the street than in
response to disturbances in their own economic
system.?[93] Totalitarianism is on the rise, as
David Lyon wrote:
The ultimate
feature of the totalitarian domination is the
absence of exit, which can be achieved temporarily
by closing borders, but permanently only by a
truly global reach that would render the very
notion of exit meaningless. This in itself
justifies questions about the totalitarian
potential of globalization. [. . . ] Is abolition
of borders intrinsically (morally) good, because
they symbolize barriers that needlessly separate
and exclude people, or are they potential lines of
resistance, refuge and difference that may save us
from the totalitarian abyss? [I]f globalization
undermines the tested, state-based models of
democracy, the world may be vulnerable to a global
totalitarian etatization, [i.e., centralization
and control].[94]
In 2007, the
British Defense Ministry released a report in
which they analyzed future trends in the world. It
stated in regards to social problems, ?The middle
classes could become a revolutionary class, taking
the role envisaged for the proletariat by Marx.?
Interestingly:
The thesis is based
on a growing gap between the middle classes and
the super-rich on one hand and an urban
under-class threatening social order: ?The world's
middle classes might unite, using access to
knowledge, resources and skills to shape
transnational processes in their own class
interest?. Marxism could also be revived, it says,
because of global inequality. An increased trend
towards moral relativism and pragmatic values will
encourage people to seek the ?sanctuary provided
by more rigid belief systems, including religious
orthodoxy and doctrinaire political ideologies,
such as popularism and Marxism?.[95]
The general trend
has thus become the reformation of the capitalist
system into a system based upon the ?China model?
of totalitarian capitalism. The capitalist class
fear potential revolutionary sentiment among the
middle and lower classes of the world. Obama was a
well-packaged Wall Street product, sold to the
American people and the people of the world on the
promise of ?Hope? and ?Change.? Obama was put in
place to pacify resistance.
Prior to Obama
becoming President, the American people were
becoming united in their opposition against not
only the Bush administration, but Congress and the
government in general. Both the president and
Congress were equally hated; the people were
uniting. Since Obama became President, the people
have been turned against one another:
?conservatives? blame the ?liberals? and
?socialists? for all the problems, pointing
fingers at Obama (who is nothing more than a
figurehead), while those on the left point at the
Republicans and ?conservatives? and Bush, placing
all the blame on them. The right defends the
Republicans; the left defends Obama. The people
have been divided, arguably more so than at any
time in recent history.
In dividing the
people against each other, those in power have
been able to quell resistance against them, and
have continued to loot and plunder the nation and
people, while using its military might to loot and
plunder foreign nations and people. Obama is not
to provide hope and change for the American
people; his purpose was to provide the illusion of
?change? and provide ?hope? to the elites in
preventing a purposeful and powerful opposition or
rebellion among the people. Meanwhile, the
government has been preparing for the potentiality
of great social and civil unrest following a
future collapse or crisis. Instead of coming to
the aid of the people, the government is preparing
to control and oppress the people.
Could
Martial Law Come to America?
Processes
undertaken in the American political establishment
in previous decades, and rapidly accelerated under
the Bush administration and carried on by the
Obama administration, have set the course for the
imposition of a military government in America.
Readily armed with an oppressive state apparatus
and backed by the heavy surveillance state
apparatus, the ?Homeland Security? state is about
controlling the population, not protecting them.
In January of 2006,
KBR, a subsidiary of the then-Vice President
Cheney?s former corporation, Halliburton, received
a contract from the Department of Homeland
Security:
[T]o support the
Department of Homeland Security?s (DHS) U.S.
Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE)
facilities in the event of an emergency. [The
contract] has a maximum total value of $385
million over a five-year term, consisting of a
one-year based period and four one-year options,
the competitively awarded contract will be
executed by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Fort
Worth District. KBR held the previous ICE contract
from 2000 through 2005.
[It further]
provides for establishing temporary detention and
processing capabilities to augment existing ICE
Detention and Removal Operations (DRO) Program
facilities in the event of an emergency influx of
immigrants into the U.S., or to support the
rapid development of new programs. [. . . ]
The contract may also provide migrant detention
support to other U.S. Government organizations in
the event of an immigration emergency, as well
as the development of a plan to react to a
national emergency, such as a natural
disaster. [emphasis added][96]
Put simply, the
contract is to develop a system of ?internment
camps? inside the United States to be used in
times of ?emergency?. Further, as Peter Dale Scott
revealed in his book, The Road to
9/11:
On February 6,
2007, homeland security secretary Michael Chertoff
announced that the fiscal year 2007 federal budget
would allocate more than $400 million to add
sixty-seven hundred additional detention beds (an
increase of 32 percent over 2006). [This was] in
partial fulfillment of an ambitious ten-year
Homeland Security strategic plan, code-named
Endgame, authorized in 2003, [designed to] remove
all removable aliens [and] potential
terrorists.[97]
As Scott previously
wrote, ?the contract evoked ominous memories of
Oliver North's controversial Rex-84 ?readiness
exercise? in 1984. This called for the Federal
Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) to round up and
detain 400,000 imaginary ?refugees,? in the
context of ?uncontrolled population movements?
over the Mexican border into the United States.?
However, it was to be a cover for the rounding up
of ?subversives? and ?dissenters?. Daniel
Ellsberg, who leaked the ?Pentagon papers? in
1971, stated that, ?Almost certainly this [new
contract] is preparation for a roundup after the
next 9/11 for Mid-Easterners, Muslims and possibly
dissenters.?[98]
In February of
2008, an article in the San Francisco Chronicle,
co-authored by a former US Congressman, reported
that, ?Beginning in 1999, the government has
entered into a series of single-bid contracts with
Halliburton subsidiary Kellogg, Brown and Root
(KBR) to build detention camps at undisclosed
locations within the United States. The government
has also contracted with several companies to
build thousands of railcars, some reportedly
equipped with shackles, ostensibly to transport
detainees.?[99]
Further, in
February of 2008, the Vancouver Sun
reported that:
Canada and the U.S.
have signed an agreement that paves the way for
the militaries from either nation to send troops
across each other's borders during an emergency,
but some are questioning why the Harper government
has kept silent on the deal. [. . .] Neither the
Canadian government nor the Canadian Forces
announced the new agreement, which was signed Feb.
14 in Texas [but the] U.S. military's Northern
Command, however, publicized the agreement with a
statement outlining how its top officer, Gen. Gene
Renuart, and Canadian Lt.-Gen. Marc Dumais, head
of Canada Command, signed the plan, which allows
the military from one nation to support the armed
forces of the other nation in a civil emergency.
[. . . ] If U.S.
forces were to come into Canada they would be
under tactical control of the Canadian Forces but
still under the command of the U.S.
military.[100]
Commenting on the
Military Commissions Act of 2006, Yale law and
political science professor Bruce Ackerman wrote
in the Los Angeles Times that the
legislation ?authorizes the president to seize
American citizens as enemy combatants, even if
they have never left the United States. And once
thrown into military prison, they cannot expect a
trial by their peers or any other of the normal
protections of the Bill of Rights.? Further, it
states that the legislation ?grants the president
enormous power over citizens and legal residents.
They can be designated as enemy combatants if they
have contributed money to a Middle Eastern
charity, and they can be held indefinitely in a
military prison.? Not only that, but, ?ordinary
Americans would be required to defend themselves
before a military tribunal without the
constitutional guarantees provided in criminal
trials.? Startlingly, ?Legal residents who aren't
citizens are treated even more harshly. The bill
entirely cuts off their access to federal habeas
corpus, leaving them at the mercy of the
president's suspicions.?[101]
Senator Patrick
Leahey made a statement on February 2007 in which
he discussed the John Warner Defense Authorization
Act of 2007, saying:
Last year, Congress
quietly made it easier for this President or any
President to declare martial law. That?s right: In
legislation added at the Administration?s request
to last year?s massive Defense Authorization Bill,
it has now become easier to bypass longtime posse
comitatus restrictions that prevent the federal
government?s use of the military, including a
federalized National Guard, to perform domestic
law enforcement duties.
He added that,
?posse comitatus [is] the legal doctrine that bars
the use of the military for law enforcement
directed at the American people here at home.? The
Bill is an amendment to the Insurrection Act, of
which Leahey further commented:
When the
Insurrection Act is invoked, the President can ?
without the consent of the respective governors --
federalize the National Guard and use it, along
with the entire military, to carry out law
enforcement duties. [This] is a sweeping grant of
authority to the President. [. . . ] In addition
to the cases of insurrection, the Act can now be
invoked to restore public order after a terrorist
attack, a natural disaster, a disease outbreak, or
? and this is extremely broad ? ?other
condition?.[102]
On May 9, 2007, the
White House issued a press release about the
National Security Presidential Directive (NSPD)
51, also known as the ?National Security and
Homeland Security Presidential Directive.? This
directive:
[P]rescribes
continuity requirements for all executive
departments and agencies, and provides guidance
for State, local, territorial, and tribal
governments, and private sector organizations in
order to ensure a comprehensive and integrated
national continuity program that will enhance the
credibility of our national security posture and
enable a more rapid and effective response to and
recovery from a national emergency.
The document
defines ?catastrophic emergency? as, ?any
incident, regardless of location, that results in
extraordinary levels of mass casualties, damage,
or disruption severely affecting the U.S.
population, infrastructure, environment,
economy, or government
functions.? It explains ?Continuity of
Government? (COG), as ?a coordinated effort within
the Federal Government's executive branch to
ensure that National Essential Functions continue
to be performed during a Catastrophic Emergency.?
[emphasis added]
The directive
states that, ?The President shall lead the
activities of the Federal Government for ensuring
constitutional government. In order to advise and
assist the President in that function, the
Assistant to the President for Homeland Security
and Counterterrorism (APHS/CT) is hereby
designated as the National Continuity
Coordinator.?[103]
Essentially, in
time of a ?catastrophic emergency?, the President
takes over total control of the executive,
legislative and judicial branches of government in
order to secure ?continuity?. In essence, the
Presidency would become an ?Executive
Dictatorship?.
In late September
of 2008, in the midst of the financial crisis, the
Army Times, an official media outlet of
the Pentagon, reported that, ?Helping ?people at
home? may become a permanent part of the active
Army,? as the 3rd Infantry Division?s 1st Brigade
Combat Team, having spent years patrolling Iraq,
are now ?training for the same mission ? with a
twist ? at home.? Further:
They may be called
upon to help with civil unrest and crowd control
or to deal with potentially horrific scenarios
such as massive poisoning and chaos in response to
a chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear or
high-yield explosive, or CBRNE,
attack.[104]
None of the
authorizations, bills, executive orders, or
contracts related to the declaration of marital
law and suspension of democracy in the event of an
?emergency? have been repealed by the Obama
administration.
In fact, as the
New York Times revealed in July 2009, the
Obama administration has decidedly left in place
the Bush administration decisions regarding the
government response to a national emergency in
?Continuity of Government? (COG) plans in
establishing a ?shadow government?:
A shift in
authority has given military officials at the
White House a bigger operational role in creating
a backup government if the nation?s capital were
?decapitated? by a terrorist attack or other
calamity, according to current and former
officials involved in the decision.
The move, which was
made in the closing weeks of the administration of
President George W. Bush, came after months of
heated internal debate about the balance of power
and the role of the military in a time of crisis,
participants said. Officials said the Obama
administration had left the plan essentially
intact.
Under the revamped
structure, the White House Military Office, which
reports to the office of the White House chief of
staff, has assumed a more central role in setting
up a temporary ?shadow government? in a
crisis.
The Obama
administration announced that their continuity
plans were ?settled? and they ?drew no distance
between their own policies and those left behind
by the Bush administration.?[105] In July of 2009,
it was also reported on moves by the Obama
administration to implement a system of
?preventive detention?. With this, any semblance
of democratic accountability and freedom have been
utterly gutted and disemboweled; the Republic is
officially dead:
[?Preventive
detention?] is to be a permanent,
institutionalized detention scheme with the power
vested in the President going forward to imprison
people with no charges.
[. . . ]
Manifestly, this isn't about anything other than
institutionalizing what has clearly emerged as the
central premise of the Obama Justice System: picking
and choosing what level of due process each
individual accused Terrorist is accorded, to be
determined exclusively by what process ensures
that the state will always win. If
they know they'll convict you in a real court
proceeding, they'll give you one; if they think
they might lose there, they'll put you in a
military commission; if they're still not sure
they will win, they'll just indefinitely imprison
you without any charges.
[. . .] It's
Kafkaesque show trials in their most perverse
form:
the outcome is pre-determined (guilty and
imprisoned) and only the process changes. That's
especially true since, even where a miscalculation
causes someone to be tried but then acquitted, the
power to detain them could still be
asserted.[106]
Society, and with
it, any remaining ?democracy? is being closed
down. In this economic crisis, as Daniel Guerin
warned decades ago, the financial oligarchy have
chosen to ?throw democracy overboard?, and have
opted for the other option: totalitarian
capitalism; fascism.
In
Conclusion
The current crisis
is not merely a failure of the US housing bubble,
that is but a symptom of a much wider and
far-reaching problem. The nations of the world are
mired in exorbitant debt loads, as the sovereign
debt crisis spreads across the globe, entire
economies will crumble, and currencies will
collapse while the banks consolidate and grow. The
result will be to properly implement and construct
the apparatus of a global government structure. A
central facet of this is the formation of a global
central bank and a global currency.
The people of the
world have been lulled into a false sense of
security and complacency, living under the
illusion of an economic recovery. The fact
remains: it is only an illusion, and eventually,
it will come tumbling down. The people have been
conned into handing their governments over to the
banks, and the banks have been looting and
pillaging the treasuries and wealth of nations,
and all the while, and making the people pay for
it.
There never was a
story of more woe, than that of human kind, and
their monied foe.
Truly, the people
of the world do need a new world order, but not
one determined and constructed by and for those
who have created the past failed world orders. It
must be a world order directed and determined by
the people of the world, not the powerful. But to
do this, the people must take back the
power.
The way to
achieving a stable economy is along the path of
peace. War and economic crises play off of one
another, and are systematically linked.
Imperialism is the driver of this system, and
behind it, the banking establishment as the
financier.
Peace is the only
way forward, in both political and economic
realms. Peace is the pre-requisite for social
sustainability and for a truly great civilization.
The people of the
world must pursue and work for peace and justice
on a global scale: economically, politically,
socially, scientifically, artistically, and
personally. It?s asking a lot, but it?s our only
option. We need to have ?hope?, a word often
strewn around with little intent to the point
where it has come to represent failed
expectations. We need hope in ourselves, in our
ability to throw off the shackles that bind us and
in our diversity and creativity construct a new
world that will benefit all.
No one knows what
this world would look like, or how exactly to get
there, least of all myself. What we do know is
what it doesn?t look like, and what road to steer
clear of. The time has come to retake our rightful
place as the commanders of our own lives. It must
be freedom for all, or freedom for none. This is
our world, and we have been given the gift of the
human mind and critical thought, which no other
living being can rightfully boast; what a shame it
would be to waste it.